The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 1%
2 LIU Austin 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% -
3 DING Max 100% 100% 94% 67% 23% 2%
3 XUE Michael 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
5 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 99% 85% 46% 10% 1%
6 CHIANG William 100% 96% 73% 31% 6% -
7 LI Stephen 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
8 DU Evan 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
9 WU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
10 CHEN Daniel 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
11 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 98% 87% 61% 30% 9% 1%
12 MA Nolan 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 7%
13 WU MiEr 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% < 1%
14 YOON Jonathan 100% 92% 62% 27% 7% 1% < 1%
15 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
16 HANTOV Adrian 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
17 KIM Evan 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
18 DESAI Adithya 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
19 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
20 FULKERSON Charles 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 22%
21 KICIMAN Leo 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
22 THOMSON Piers 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
23 FRENCH Drake 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
24 LIU Aiden 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
25 LI Bryan 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
26 MA kevin 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
27 KHALID Ilyas 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
28 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 77% 34% 7% - -
29 YUE Bryan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
30 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
31 BALLEZA Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
32 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
33 LOGEROT Henry 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
34 XU Kevin 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 4%
35 BERNIER Landyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
36 STEPHANIAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
37 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
38 THOMSON Ford 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
39 INGLE Emerson 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
40 WERLE James 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
41 YANG Rony 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
42 WALKER Beckett 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
43 HARGROVE Max 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
44 KIM Benjamin 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
45 CHEN Linus 100% 99% 81% 42% 11% 1%
46 FRENCH Luke 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
47 HURT Myles 100% 99% 82% 46% 14% 2%
48 KAPP Eamon 100% 99% 86% 38% 8% 1% -
49 TAN Samuel 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
49 LOEGERING Ryder 100% 100% 91% 49% 11% 1%
51 REICHLE Jude 100% 100% 92% 61% 18% 2% -
52 BARCLAY Max 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.