The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SWANSON Alexa - - - - 2% 24% 74%
2 HO Addison - - - 2% 24% 52% 21%
3 CHEN Renee - - - - - 9% 90%
3 CHERNYKH Elina - - 6% 26% 46% 22%
5 REN Kayley - - - - 5% 31% 63%
6 WANG Joanna - - 2% 17% 45% 35%
7 ZOU Ella - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
8 TANG Melody Fujiao - 1% 7% 28% 45% 20%
9 DENG Melissa - - - 4% 28% 54% 14%
10 LEVESQUE Brielle - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 7%
11 BROWN Lola - - - 2% 14% 43% 40%
12 GUO Audrey - - 3% 15% 40% 37% 5%
13 DUAN Sophie - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
14 ZHANG Ivy - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
15 DAVIS Logan - - - 1% 6% 33% 61%
16 CHOI Sophie - 7% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
17 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
18 KIM Erin - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
19 BAE Yooju 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
20 ZHANG Gwenyth - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
21 LI Joy - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16% -
22 HAN Gian - - 2% 21% 47% 25% 4%
23 ZEE Savannah - 1% 10% 30% 40% 17% 1%
24 WU Chingfei Amber 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 3% -
25 PARK Lauren 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
26 POEI Lauren - - 5% 23% 42% 28% 1%
27 YU Sophie 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
28 LEE Jeemin - 1% 12% 44% 33% 9% 1%
29 YACOBUCCI Nadia 1% 11% 31% 38% 16% 2%
30 GOITIA Genevieve 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
31 ZHANG Zoey 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1% -
32 LEE Zoe 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
33 LU Keeva 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% < 1% -
34 FUNG Sarafina 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
35 CHANG Lydia 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 3%
36 SREENIVAS Ridhi 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 3%
37 SOE Hayleigh 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
38 WANG Emma 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
39 ZHOU Joi 8% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
40 DUVVA Sanika 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
41 BEHL Alessandra 25% 45% 24% 5% - -
42 HUGHES Olivia 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2% -
43 TELEB Farida 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
44 ZHANG Viviana - 4% 18% 37% 30% 9% 1%
45 CHANG Olia - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 1%
46 LUO Miranda - - < 1% 2% 19% 57% 22%
47 DENG Claire - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
47 MILCH Noa - 7% 30% 39% 20% 3% -
49 CHEN Madeleine 4% 27% 50% 17% 2% - -
50 CHANG Olivia 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
51 NICHOLS Ellington 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
52 LIM Kora 31% 46% 20% 3% - -
53 LIM Kensie 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
54 LIU Celia 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
55 CHU Felicity 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
56 PECK Madeleine 15% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
57 WU Emma 14% 47% 30% 8% 1% - -
58 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
59 LEE Madeleine 51% 40% 8% - - - -
60 DERSHEM Abby 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
61 LI Jasmine 3% 19% 41% 29% 7% 1%
62 LAI Miranda 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
63 YU Sien 8% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
64 TUMULA Anima 58% 36% 6% - - - -
65 HU Avery 46% 39% 12% 2% - - -
66 ETIKALA Saanvi 22% 54% 22% 2% - - -
67 CHIANG Aria 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.