The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
2 HO Addison 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 21%
3 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
3 CHERNYKH Elina 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
5 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
6 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
7 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
8 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
9 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 14%
10 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 7%
11 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
12 GUO Audrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 5%
13 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
14 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
15 DAVIS Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
16 CHOI Sophie 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
17 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
18 KIM Erin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
19 BAE Yooju 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
20 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
21 LI Joy 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% -
22 HAN Gian 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 29% 4%
23 ZEE Savannah 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 1%
24 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3% -
25 PARK Lauren 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
26 POEI Lauren 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 1%
27 YU Sophie 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
28 LEE Jeemin 100% 100% 99% 87% 43% 9% 1%
29 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 99% 88% 57% 18% 2%
30 GOITIA Genevieve 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
31 ZHANG Zoey 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
32 LEE Zoe 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 2% -
33 LU Keeva 100% 92% 60% 22% 3% < 1% -
34 FUNG Sarafina 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
35 CHANG Lydia 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 3%
36 SREENIVAS Ridhi 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
37 SOE Hayleigh 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
38 WANG Emma 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
39 ZHOU Joi 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
40 DUVVA Sanika 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
41 BEHL Alessandra 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
42 HUGHES Olivia 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 3% -
43 TELEB Farida 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
44 ZHANG Viviana 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
45 CHANG Olia 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
46 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 22%
47 DENG Claire 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
47 MILCH Noa 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
49 CHEN Madeleine 100% 96% 69% 18% 2% - -
50 CHANG Olivia 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
51 NICHOLS Ellington 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
52 LIM Kora 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
53 LIM Kensie 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
54 LIU Celia 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
55 CHU Felicity 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
56 PECK Madeleine 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
57 WU Emma 100% 86% 39% 9% 1% - -
58 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
59 LEE Madeleine 100% 49% 9% - - - -
60 DERSHEM Abby 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
61 LI Jasmine 100% 97% 78% 37% 7% 1%
62 LAI Miranda 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
63 YU Sien 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
64 TUMULA Anima 100% 42% 6% - - - -
65 HU Avery 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
66 ETIKALA Saanvi 100% 78% 24% 2% - - -
67 CHIANG Aria 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.