The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 2:30 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
2 PINTO Marcus - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
3 CLARK Aram - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
3 LI linze - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
5 TANI Tino - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
6 CHAMBERS Miles - 1% 9% 39% 51%
7 LEE Brady - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
8 KANG Jeremy - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 8%
9 LI AYDEN - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
10 LI Yidong A. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
11 GU Andrew - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
12 XIAO Brayden - - 7% 35% 44% 14%
13 NARDINI Nathanael P. - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
14 HWANG Jayden - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
15 DAI Zihou - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
16 WANG Tiger - 12% 41% 38% 8%
17 ANDRES Michael - - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
18 BOSITA Brennan 1% 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
19 YOOK Isaac - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8%
20 KANG Matthew - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
21 KITSON Chase - 12% 41% 38% 9%
22 YU BOWEN - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
23 WANG Alex 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
24 HWANG Hagan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
25 MEADE Liam Robert 3% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
26 SASSI Ilyas 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
27 KROON Landon - 1% 14% 41% 35% 8%
28 CAO Donald - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
29 WONG Ron 4% 31% 41% 20% 4% - -
30 OLSON Kai 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
31 LIU Yijin 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
32 AZADPOUR Arvin 5% 45% 39% 10% 1%
33 NAMBIAR Navin 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
34 ZHU Alexander 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
35 TANG Morgan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
36 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
37 SALMAN Hamzah 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
38 BAI Evan - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
39 LIANG Preston 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
40 BOLLU Viren 15% 38% 33% 11% 2% -
41 TUNIK Joshuah 1% 15% 49% 29% 6% -
42 ZHANG KAIQI 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
43 BRUM Charles E. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
44 KIM Yusung 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
45 HAO Johnny 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
46 LI Ryan 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
47 WEI preston 7% 31% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
48 GUO Jonathan 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
49 WOSTER Matthew (Mateo) 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
50 CHANG Timothy 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
51 YUEN Caleb 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
52 FRAZIER Jacob 50% 41% 8% - - -
53 ZHAO Aidan 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
54 OU Rigel 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
55 SONG Aidan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
56 CHAVAN Aditya - 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
57 PAN Asher 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
58 SO Dylan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
59 THOTAKURA Sreyas 26% 54% 18% 2% - -
60 RYU Andrew Junsang 83% 16% 1% - -
61 WANG David 4% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
62 FU BRANDEN 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
63 SO Morgan < 1% 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
64 MAI Ryan 78% 20% 2% - - - -
65 WU Yue 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.