The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 2:30 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
2 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 LI linze 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
5 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
6 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
7 LEE Brady 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
8 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 8%
9 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
10 LI Yidong A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
11 GU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
12 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 100% 92% 58% 14%
13 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
14 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
15 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
16 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 88% 46% 8%
17 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
18 BOSITA Brennan 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
19 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
20 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
21 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 88% 47% 9%
22 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
23 WANG Alex 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
24 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
25 MEADE Liam Robert 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
26 SASSI Ilyas 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
27 KROON Landon 100% 100% 99% 85% 44% 8%
28 CAO Donald 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
29 WONG Ron 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% - -
30 OLSON Kai 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
31 LIU Yijin 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
32 AZADPOUR Arvin 100% 95% 50% 11% 1%
33 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
34 ZHU Alexander 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
35 TANG Morgan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
36 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
37 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
38 BAI Evan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
39 LIANG Preston 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
40 BOLLU Viren 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
41 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 99% 84% 35% 6% -
42 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
43 BRUM Charles E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
44 KIM Yusung 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
45 HAO Johnny 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
46 LI Ryan 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
47 WEI preston 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
48 GUO Jonathan 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
49 WOSTER Matthew (Mateo) 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
50 CHANG Timothy 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
51 YUEN Caleb 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
52 FRAZIER Jacob 100% 50% 8% - - -
53 ZHAO Aidan 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
54 OU Rigel 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
55 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
56 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
57 PAN Asher 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
58 SO Dylan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
59 THOTAKURA Sreyas 100% 74% 20% 2% - -
60 RYU Andrew Junsang 100% 17% 1% - -
61 WANG David 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
62 FU BRANDEN 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
63 SO Morgan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
64 MAI Ryan 100% 22% 2% - - - -
65 WU Yue 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.