The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
3 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
5 YANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 27%
6 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
7 YUE Jackson 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
8 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
9 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
10 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
11 CHAN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
12 LU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 34%
13 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
14 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
15 YOON junhyeok 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
16 DENG David 100% 100% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
17 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
18 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 35%
19 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
20 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
21 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
22 YU ZiRun (Kinton) 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
23 LIU ERIC 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 21%
24 PARK William 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
25 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
26 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
27 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
28 YOON Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
29 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
30 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
31 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
32 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
33 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
34 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
35 DHOKTE Neev 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
36 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
37 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
38 YOU Alan 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
39 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
40 TAN Pyron 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
41 WU Thomas 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
42 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
43 KIM Andrew 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
44 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
45 CHEN Anson 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
46 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
47 HE Gary 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
48 CHEN Jason 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
49 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
50 LI Lucas 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 8% 1%
51 ALKADI Zain 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
52 POPOKH Luca 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
53 RAU Shogun 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
54 MO Chris 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
55 KUANG Cyrus 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
56 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
57 BANUELOS Dario 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
58 HE Ian 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
59 WANG Alekai 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
60 ZENG Albert 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
61 ALKADI Deen 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
62 YANG Steve 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
63 FOY Grant 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
64 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
65 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 89% 44% 11% 1% - -
66 HUYNH Matthew 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 4% -
67 MIRZA Aarish 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
68 PARK Andrew 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
69 LEE Euan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
70 CHIANG Aiden 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
71 SANDEEP Varun 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
72 DLUTOWSKI Zachary 100% 40% 6% - - - -
73 TEOH Liam 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
74 DIMINO Kartik 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
75 YANG Gavin 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
76 YE Jerry 100% 87% 41% 10% 1% - -
77 LEE Joshua 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
77 QIU Yiran 100% 39% 6% - - - -
79 DLUTOWSKI Alexander 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
80 OZCAN Archer 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
81 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
82 SLAIN Owen 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
82 WU James 100% 98% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
84 LI Jonathan 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.