The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
2 YILMAZ Pinar - - - 2% 12% 43% 44%
3 GUO Luxi - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 SUN Zeyu - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
5 LISCUM Vivian - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 22%
6 LIN Ariel - - 4% 20% 43% 34%
7 XU Serena - - 5% 22% 42% 30%
8 VALDEZ Emma 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
9 BEAVER Ava - - - - 5% 30% 64%
10 ABUELFUTUH Sama - - 1% 6% 27% 47% 19%
11 WANG Victoria - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
12 CHERNIS Liah 2% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
13 WANG Ziqiao 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
14 PETROFF Eva - 5% 24% 43% 25% 3%
15 KANASKAR Ila - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
16 XU Jessica - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
17 MCCREIGHT Elena - 2% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
18 CHEN Alina 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
19 QI Julieanne 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
20 IYER Ishana - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
21 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
22 MCQUEEN Morgan - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
23 HALE Avery 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
24 WANG Cecilia 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
25 STERN Savannah - 6% 25% 41% 25% 3%
26 RAMEY Alexa 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
27 PEI Claire - 6% 25% 40% 25% 5%
28 BEATIE Isabella M. - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
29 SUN Karolyn - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
30 ZHAO Emma - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
31 LEE Yeriel - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 7%
32 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
33 HE Anna 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
34 ZHAO Yanning - 7% 31% 40% 19% 3%
35 CHANG Allison 1% 9% 30% 38% 20% 3%
36 DESAI Eesha 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% -
37 WU Jessica 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
38 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
39 FU Shannon 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
40 ERIKSEN Isabella 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
41 NOCHOVKA Nika 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
42 PARK elli 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
43 HARMON Nikkole 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
44 HALE Reagan 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
45 WANG Emma 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
46 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
47 OLSON Olivia 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
48 KELLEY Dessa 72% 25% 3% - - -
49 ZHAO Ellie 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
50 YU Xintong 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
51 HOLDEN Helena 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
52 YU Chloe 2% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1%
53 XU Chenyu - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
54 NGUYEN Renee 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
55 DAI Mina (Chenxi) 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
56 HINDS ella 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
57 BRUMMETT Sarah 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
58 YOUNG Nicole 61% 32% 6% 1% - -
59 HUANG Selina 6% 41% 37% 13% 2% -
60 KELLEY Kelleah 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
60 ELLMER Ava 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
62 LIN Gianna 21% 46% 27% 6% - -
62 RAMAKRISHNAN Anjali 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% -
64 TURNER Reagan 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
65 HASSMAN Christine 4% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.