The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
2 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
3 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 SUN Zeyu 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
5 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 22%
6 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
7 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 30%
8 VALDEZ Emma 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
9 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
10 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 19%
11 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
12 CHERNIS Liah 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
13 WANG Ziqiao 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
14 PETROFF Eva 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 3%
15 KANASKAR Ila 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
16 XU Jessica 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
17 MCCREIGHT Elena 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
18 CHEN Alina 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
19 QI Julieanne 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
20 IYER Ishana 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
21 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
22 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
23 HALE Avery 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
24 WANG Cecilia 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 2%
25 STERN Savannah 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 3%
26 RAMEY Alexa 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
27 PEI Claire 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
28 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
29 SUN Karolyn 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
30 ZHAO Emma 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
31 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 7%
32 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
33 HE Anna 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
34 ZHAO Yanning 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 3%
35 CHANG Allison 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
36 DESAI Eesha 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
37 WU Jessica 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
38 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
39 FU Shannon 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
40 ERIKSEN Isabella 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
41 NOCHOVKA Nika 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
42 PARK elli 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
43 HARMON Nikkole 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
44 HALE Reagan 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
45 WANG Emma 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
46 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
47 OLSON Olivia 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% - -
48 KELLEY Dessa 100% 28% 3% - - -
49 ZHAO Ellie 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
50 YU Xintong 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
51 HOLDEN Helena 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% -
52 YU Chloe 100% 98% 85% 48% 12% 1%
53 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 1%
54 NGUYEN Renee 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
55 DAI Mina (Chenxi) 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
56 HINDS ella 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
57 BRUMMETT Sarah 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
58 YOUNG Nicole 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
59 HUANG Selina 100% 94% 53% 15% 2% -
60 KELLEY Kelleah 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
60 ELLMER Ava 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
62 LIN Gianna 100% 79% 33% 6% - -
62 RAMAKRISHNAN Anjali 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% -
64 TURNER Reagan 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
65 HASSMAN Christine 100% 96% 69% 31% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.