The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Monday, December 19, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUFFEY Christopher - - 1% 9% 43% 47%
2 KALPATHY Rohit - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
3 LI Yiwei - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
3 ZHAO Zhiyu 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
5 LI Howard - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
6 TANI Tino - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 8%
7 KIM Ethan - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
8 TUNG Ryan 1% 8% 30% 38% 20% 4%
9 CHON Collin - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
10 PASTORE LIU Vince - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
11 CHUNG Connor - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
12 NARDINI Nathanael P. - - 3% 22% 50% 24%
13 KIM ELIJAH - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
14 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
15 LI linze - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
16 ZHAO Lucas 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
17 HUNG Samuel - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
18 HOLZ Lucas - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
19 PINTO Marcus - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
20 WANG Zhuoyi - 1% 8% 29% 41% 21%
21 LI Yidong A. 1% 7% 29% 45% 17% 2%
22 KANG Evan - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
23 ANDRES Michael - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
24 KANG Matthew - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
25 TSAO Oliver 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
26 CLARK Aram - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
27 GAY Jono - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
28 SAMMI Mukul - 14% 38% 34% 12% 2%
29 MUNGUIA Nathan - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
30 HWANG Jayden - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
31 STURGEON Cole 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
32 GREMILLION Obadiah 1% 31% 43% 21% 4% -
33 CRAIG Andrew 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
34 LIN Philip T. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
35 LIU Yijin 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
36 MEADE Liam Robert 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
37 HUBLALL Ethan 5% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1%
38 SASSI Ilyas 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
39 VEDRE Neil 19% 47% 27% 6% 1% -
40 TSAO Alister 19% 43% 30% 7% - -
41 KROON Landon 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
42 GU Andrew 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
43 CAO Donald 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
44 TRENK Adam - 4% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
45 CHANG Timothy 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
46 SALMAN Hamzah 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
47 KWON Kenneth 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
48 DAI Zihou - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
49 DEELY Hartigan 5% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
50 NAMBIAR Navin 24% 44% 26% 5% - -
51 WOSTER Matthew (Mateo) 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
52 ZHANG KAIQI 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
53 TUNIK Joshuah 29% 47% 20% 4% - - -
54 KOTVALI Aneesh 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -
55 HAMMERS Neel 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
56 ZHOU William 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
57 BAI Evan 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
58 BRUM Charles E. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
59 KIM Yusung 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
60 OLSON Kai 11% 37% 38% 12% 1% -
61 XIAO Brayden 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
62 XUE Leo 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
63 FRAZIER Jacob 92% 8% - - - -
64 PATIL Ronit 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.