The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Monday, December 19, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
2 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
3 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
5 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
6 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
7 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
8 TUNG Ryan 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4%
9 CHON Collin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
10 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
11 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
12 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 24%
13 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
14 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
15 LI linze 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
16 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
17 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
18 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
19 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
20 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
21 LI Yidong A. 100% 99% 92% 63% 18% 2%
22 KANG Evan 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
23 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
24 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
25 TSAO Oliver 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
26 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
27 GAY Jono 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
28 SAMMI Mukul 100% 100% 86% 48% 14% 2%
29 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
30 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
31 STURGEON Cole 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
32 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 99% 68% 25% 4% -
33 CRAIG Andrew 100% 99% 87% 57% 20% 2%
34 LIN Philip T. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
35 LIU Yijin 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
36 MEADE Liam Robert 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
37 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
38 SASSI Ilyas 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
39 VEDRE Neil 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
40 TSAO Alister 100% 81% 37% 7% - -
41 KROON Landon 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
42 GU Andrew 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
43 CAO Donald 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 6% -
44 TRENK Adam 100% 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1%
45 CHANG Timothy 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
46 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
47 KWON Kenneth 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
48 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
49 DEELY Hartigan 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
50 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
51 WOSTER Matthew (Mateo) 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
52 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
53 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 71% 24% 4% - - -
54 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
55 HAMMERS Neel 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
56 ZHOU William 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
57 BAI Evan 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
58 BRUM Charles E. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
59 KIM Yusung 100% 57% 14% 2% - -
60 OLSON Kai 100% 89% 52% 13% 1% -
61 XIAO Brayden 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
62 XUE Leo 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
63 FRAZIER Jacob 100% 8% - - - -
64 PATIL Ronit 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.