Event Preview
National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NACSunday, July 4, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4084 | 4155 - 4043 |
| 5 - 8 | 4044 | 4208 - 3977 |
| 9 - 16 | 3901 | 3996 - 3835 |
| 17 - 32 | 3828 | 3912 - 3739 |
| 33 - 64 | 3650 | 3925 - 3472 |
| 65 - 128 | 3355 | 3775 - 3211 |
| 129 - 206 | 3016 | 3551 - 2315 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.