The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Monday, December 19, 2022 at 1:00 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
2 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 HO Addison 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 34%
3 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
5 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
6 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
7 WYNN Kylie 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 5%
8 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
9 DAVIS Logan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
10 HUANG Yuwen 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
11 CHERNYKH Elina 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
12 NAIR Supriya 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
12 PENG Charlotte 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
14 JOHNSON Shelby 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
15 PENG Serena 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
16 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
17 BAE Yooju 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
18 YUEN Elsie 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
19 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
20 KIM Erin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
21 CUI alivia 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
22 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
23 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 9%
24 GAO Anne 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
25 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
26 AADHI Hansika 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
27 COX Sophia 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
28 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
29 COLLINS Anna 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
30 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
31 CAMPBELL June 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
32 ALKADI Mai 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
33 HAN Gian 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
34 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 96% 64% 24% 5% - -
35 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
36 GUO Audrey 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
37 ZHANG Ivy 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
38 CHANG Janelle 100% 71% 21% 3% - -
39 STONE Sydney 100% 99% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
40 DESAI Esha 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
41 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
42 POEI Lauren 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
43 LI Jasmine 100% 64% 16% 2% - -
44 EDGEWORTH Paloma 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
45 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 94% 58% 20% 3% - -
46 MIRZA Sophia 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
47 FUNG Sarafina 100% 65% 17% 2% - -
48 ZHANG Zoey 100% 57% 12% 1% - -
49 HUGHES Olivia 100% 36% 5% - - - -
49 YANG Luna 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
51 WU Emma 100% 30% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.