Moe Foundation Foil Open #161

Senior Mixed Foil

Friday, December 23, 2022 at 6:30 PM

Moe Fencing Club - Somerville, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 28%
2 SULLIVAN Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 56%
3 MCLEAN Miles 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 23%
5 TSAI Max 100% 100% 99% 87% 44% 4%
6 HAO Danica 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
7 SHENG Katherine 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
8 GARDINER Luke J. 100% 93% 59% 14% 1% -
9 DU Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
10 JIANG Claire 100% 100% 89% 50% 11% 1% -
11 ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 82% 38% 6% - -
12 COELHO Sofia 100% 98% 63% 20% 3% - -
13 XIAO Bowen 100% 99% 88% 52% 11% -
14 WILBERT Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 16% 1%
15 OLIVEIRA Lavinia 100% 96% 66% 11% 1% -
16 GARDINER Sophia 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
17 ZHAO Brian 100% 98% 74% 23% 2% -
18 ZHAO Brandon 100% 65% 20% 2% - -
19 AHOUSE Sophia 100% 30% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.