Event Preview
National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NACSunday, July 4, 2021 at 8:30 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4028 | 4172 - 3939 |
| 5 - 8 | 3912 | 3956 - 3868 |
| 9 - 16 | 3814 | 3918 - 3731 |
| 17 - 32 | 3704 | 3862 - 3605 |
| 33 - 64 | 3494 | 3742 - 3370 |
| 65 - 128 | 3268 | 3437 - 3010 |
| 129 - 153 | 2911 | 3204 - 2699 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.