January NAC

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Friday, January 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACZIK Adam W. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
2 CHENG Thomas - 1% 10% 30% 41% 17%
3 PHO Eric - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
3 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 6% 34% 41% 16% 3% -
5 ROSTAL Scott E. - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
6 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 2% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1%
7 WILKINSON Derek H. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
8 REED David 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
9 ARROWSMITH II Alan M. - 2% 13% 36% 37% 13%
10 BARTLETT Jonathan R. - 1% 5% 22% 44% 28%
11 CHOI Paul S. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
12 MAKMATOV Vadim - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
13 RUSKIN David I. 5% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
14 STOCK Jordan 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
15 HARRELL D. Fox 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
16 DAVIS Kelly 64% 30% 6% - - -
17 HESS Marc F. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
18 LUO Aaron 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
19 SPRINGER Michael 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
20 LIOU Solomon 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
21 EDGECOMB Michael J. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
22 MENDOZA Zandro 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1%
23 KIM Jeff 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
24 MCCONVILLE Brendan M. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
25 PENGELLY Neil 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.