January NAC

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Friday, January 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
3 PHO Eric 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
3 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 94% 60% 19% 3% -
5 ROSTAL Scott E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
6 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1%
7 WILKINSON Derek H. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 5%
8 REED David 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
9 ARROWSMITH II Alan M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
10 BARTLETT Jonathan R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
11 CHOI Paul S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
12 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
13 RUSKIN David I. 100% 95% 66% 25% 5% -
14 STOCK Jordan 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
15 HARRELL D. Fox 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
16 DAVIS Kelly 100% 36% 6% 1% - -
17 HESS Marc F. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
18 LUO Aaron 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
19 SPRINGER Michael 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
20 LIOU Solomon 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
21 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
22 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
23 KIM Jeff 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
24 MCCONVILLE Brendan M. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
25 PENGELLY Neil 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.