Louisville, KY, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GAINES Aaron | V V V V D | V V V V V | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 2 | SNIDER Jeffrey H. | V D V V V V | V V V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 3 | LICHTEN Keith H. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 3 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | V D V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 5 | NORMILE Jon M. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 6 | TEITENBERG John F. | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 7 | GATES Darcy C. | V D V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 8 | CRANOR Erich L. | V V V D V D | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 9 | EXUM Travis H. | V V V V V D | V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 10 | MEHALL Michael | D V V V V V | V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 11 | WHEELER Daniel | V V V V D V | V D | 2.2 | 5 | +2.8 |
| 12 | KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. | V V V V D V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 13 | LOEFFLER Carl E. | D V D V V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 14 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | V D V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 15 | KORSCHUN Daniel | V V V D V D | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 16 | POPOKH Leo | D V D D D V | V V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 17 | BUCKLEY Michael | V V V V V V | D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 18 | CLINEFELTER Dennis S. | V D D V V V | D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 19 | EDWARDS Tim | V D D V V V | V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 20 | GRANDBOIS Peter R. | V D V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 21 | YAO Shun | D V V D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 22 | GERACI Paul A. | V D D V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 23 | GILLHAM Timothy A. | V V V D D D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 24 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | D V D V D V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 25 | BARREIRO Darren | D D V D V V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 26 | CAMPBELL Alex | V V V D D D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 27 | KLINE R. Jay | V D D D V D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 28 | FOLEY Kevin | D D D D V V | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 29 | THOMAS Jr. Robert D. | D V V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 30 | KENT Dwain | D V D D D D | V D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 31 | BOLDUC PATRICE | D D D D D | V D | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| 32 | MAR Kevin | D D D D D D | V D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| 33 | SANCHEZ Leon D. | V V V D D V | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 34 | BRUS Brian V. | V V D D V | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 35 | BAILEY Creston P. | D V V D D V | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 36 | GUMAGAY Paul | D V D V V D | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 37 | GAUVEY Ken C. | D D D V V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 38 | STEWART Robert | D D D V V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 39 | HUESKE David B. | D D D V V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 40 | ROOD Alex | V D D V D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 41 | BECK Brian C. | D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 42 | KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. | D D V D D D | D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 43 | DAVIS Andrew | D D D D D V | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 44 | SIMS Martin L. | D V D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 45 | CRAFT David M. | D D D V D D | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 46 | CISNEROS Robert A. | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 47 | KRYLTSOV Greg | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 48 | RIFKIND Neil | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.