Event Results
January NACSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KALKINA Yelena | V V V V V | V V V | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | SIERRA Kate | V V D V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | ZHANG Lynn Y. | V V V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 3 | CHIARELLI Elisabet | D V V V D | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 5 | JOHNSON Laura S. | V D V V | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 6 | HILD Ranjani | D V V D | V D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 7 | DEMING Clare L. | D V D D | V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 8 | DEBERTIN Beth | D D D D | V D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 9 | SHAFER Genine | D D V D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 10 | PREIMESBERGER Elaine | V D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 11 | OU Sochivly | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |