January NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DERSHWITZ Eli R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
2 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
5 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
6 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
7 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
8 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 34%
9 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 42%
10 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
11 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 23%
12 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
13 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
14 KIM Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 53% 8%
15 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
16 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
17 REN Junming 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 25%
18 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
19 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 59% 21%
20 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 15%
21 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
22 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
23 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
24 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
25 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
26 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 7%
27 ROBERTS Sam 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
28 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
29 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 13% 1%
30 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 4%
31 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
32 PRICE Jack S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
33 ARFA Fares 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
34 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
35 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
36 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
37 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
38 QIU Nathan 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
39 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
40 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% -
41 POPE Nico 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
42 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
43 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 13%
44 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
45 GANTA Vijay 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
46 KIM Matthew 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
47 KIM Shaun M. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
48 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
49 BERMAN Luca 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
50 REN James 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
51 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
52 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
53 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
54 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
55 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
56 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
57 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
58 FENG Leo 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
59 BERGER Oliver 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
60 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
61 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 27%
62 MICHELL Bailey 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8% 1%
63 LI Minghan 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 1% -
64 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
65 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
65 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
67 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
68 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
69 GORDON Shaul 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
70 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
71 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 19%
71 BAE Jason I. 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
71 WESTERN Rafael 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
74 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
75 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
76 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
77 ZHANG Derek 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% - -
78 MICLAUS Justin 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
79 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 2%
79 LEE Aydan J. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
81 XU Andrew 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% - -
82 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
83 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
84 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
85 KIM Alexander M. 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% - -
86 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
86 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
88 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
89 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
90 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
91 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 96% 76% 38% 8% -
92 PANDEY Neil 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
93 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
94 FOTIYEV Alan R. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
95 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
96 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
97 CHAN Matthew 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
97 PENG Bryan 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
99 TAO Jeffrey 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
100 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
100 HOLZ William A. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
102 TENG MATTHEW 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
103 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
104 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
105 PAN Alex 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
106 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
107 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% -
108 HAN William 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
109 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
110 BARNETT Adam 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
111 NOBLE Colin 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
112 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
113 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
114 SO Hananiah 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
115 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
115 WANG Nicolas 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
117 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
118 ZENG Noah 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% - -
119 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
120 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
121 STONE Esmond A. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
122 HO Kaden M. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
123 MORALES Jonathan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
124 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
125 WESLER Logan A. 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
125 LIM William J. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
127 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
128 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
129 MARGULIES William 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
130 XU Ryan 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
131 LIN Daniel 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
132 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
133 GUZZO Vito 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
134 LUO George F. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
135 PI Alexander 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
136 HANEY Vincent 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
137 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
138 LE Hayden 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
139 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 54% 13% 2% - -
140 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
140 KOTOV Leonid 100% 92% 62% 23% 3% -
142 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
143 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
144 SHOMAN Noah 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
145 GAO Albert 100% 91% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
146 DIACOS Jordan 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7% -
147 BURR Tanner B. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
147 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
147 WANG Robert 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
150 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10% 1%
150 WOODWARD Connor 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
152 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
152 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
154 YANG Ziyi 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
155 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
155 SCHARDINE James 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
157 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
157 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
159 REN Richard 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
160 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
160 VO Minh Q. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
162 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
162 BULL Anderson 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
164 MORRILL Justin 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
164 DENG Andrew 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
166 REYES Xavier M. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
167 LEE Justin 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
167 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
169 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
170 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
171 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
172 LO Konnor 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
173 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
174 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
175 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
176 HONG Steven 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
177 YEN Preston 100% 87% 45% 12% 2% -
178 XU William 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1% -
179 BEITEL Noah 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
180 NOBLE Daniel 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
181 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
182 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
183 DRESSELL Wiley 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
183 WONG Ryan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
185 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
186 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
186 OH Triton 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
188 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
188 BARBER William S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% -
188 TANN Justin 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 6% -
191 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
191 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
193 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
194 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 91% 53% 17% 3% - -
194 HONG Rubin 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
196 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
197 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
197 KIM Andrew H. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
197 KASPER Aaron 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
200 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
200 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
202 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
203 SCHNEIDER Allen J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
204 CHEN Evan P. 100% 85% 47% 13% 1% -
205 COLE Alexander 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
205 DUDNICK Christian 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
207 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
207 ZHOU Miles 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
209 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
210 ALOJIPAN Jaydon 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
211 ZHU Charlie 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
212 BONSELL Vance 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.