January NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 DUBROVICH Jacqueline - - - - 1% 17% 82%
3 TIEU May L. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
3 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. - - 1% 13% 55% 30%
5 RHODES Zander - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
6 WEINTRAUB Maia M. - - - - 2% 21% 76%
7 ZHANG Yunjia - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
8 CAO Arianna L. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
9 RIVANO Camilla - - - - 2% 20% 78%
10 DESCHNER Stefani K. - - - - 4% 30% 65%
11 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - - 5% 22% 45% 29%
12 PUSTILNIK Nicole - - - 3% 28% 69%
13 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. - - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
14 LUONG Paige K. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
15 LIU Jaelyn A. 1% 10% 35% 41% 13%
16 TAFFEL sara - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
17 PEVZNER Victoria - 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4%
18 FANG Sabrina - - 3% 18% 41% 32% 5%
19 DEVORE Delphine P. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
20 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
21 CATANTAN Samantha Kyle - - - 6% 42% 52%
22 CHO Sabrina N. - - - 2% 25% 73%
23 CHENG Evelyn - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
24 LUNG Katerina - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
25 LEE Yejine - - 1% 9% 38% 43% 9%
26 EYER Hailey M. - 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
27 HOSONO Rei W. - 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2%
28 CHEN Allison V. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
29 SARTORI Taylor M. 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
30 MEI Sarah 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
31 TAN Kaitlyn N. 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 6% -
32 XUE Alanna L. 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 7% -
33 KONG Chin-Yi - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
34 MYRONIUK Dariia - - 2% 17% 38% 33% 9%
35 CHEN Jia P. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 14% 2%
36 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. - - 1% 5% 19% 40% 34%
37 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
38 SHEN Sophia H. - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 2%
39 HAYES Nadia 2% 15% 38% 36% 9% -
40 SOOD Ishani S. 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 7%
41 CAO Ying 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
41 ZHANG Alina C. 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
43 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. - - 4% 20% 45% 28% 3%
44 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 1% 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
45 KOKES Gabrielle - 2% 11% 34% 39% 14% 1%
46 ZHENG Vivian - - 1% 5% 24% 45% 25%
47 KOROL Neta 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
48 WANDJI Anais 1% 12% 35% 38% 12% 1% -
49 GRIFFIN Emma G. - - 2% 13% 39% 41% 6%
50 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. - - - - 6% 33% 61%
50 KOENIG Charlotte R. - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 3%
52 LEE Brianna J. - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 2%
53 MILLER Naomi E. - 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
54 CAULFIELD Jane - - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
55 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
56 HO Brianna W. - 1% 7% 23% 39% 27% 3%
57 KIM Rachael 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 8%
58 SHEN Lydia - 2% 12% 36% 43% 7%
59 JING Emily - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
60 LOCKE Savannah - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7% -
61 LEE Allison (Allie) - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
62 SENIC Adeline 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
63 CHO Cameron S. - 6% 24% 41% 24% 4% -
64 PARK Rowan M. - 1% 9% 32% 42% 15% 1%
65 CHUSID Mikayla - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
66 CHO Rebecca H. 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% -
67 ORVANANOS Anice 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
68 BREKER Anika 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
69 CASTANEDA Erika L. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
70 HE Elizabeth W. - 2% 13% 42% 44%
71 FEDELI Caterina S. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
72 LEE Lavender - 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
73 BIASCO Anna - 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 2%
74 QIAN Crystal - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 15%
75 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
76 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
77 LEE Annora Y. - - 1% 11% 38% 44% 5%
78 LUU Shanon K. 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
79 LEE Alina - 1% 6% 30% 51% 12%
80 KIM Rachel 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
81 GOOR Viviene E. 1% 20% 45% 30% 4% -
82 NAMGALAURI Mariam 2% 15% 37% 35% 10% 1%
83 KIM Katherine - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
84 STAMOS Maria - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
85 APELIAN Katherine - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
86 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
87 MORADI Raiyan N. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
88 CEPERO Rosabel 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
89 YANG Iris 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
90 CHIN Sia - 10% 37% 37% 14% 2% -
91 RENTON Samantha 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
92 ZHENG Ivy - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
93 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 22% 44% 27% 6% 1% - -
94 PALMER Meredith K. 14% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
94 ZHAO Aileen Y. 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
96 KNIGHT Skylar 1% 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
97 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
98 MI Aileen 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
99 WANG Ellen - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
100 PROCOPIO Lucia 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
101 YAO Ada 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
102 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
103 KOROL Dana 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
104 WANG Zoie Z. 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
105 NISSINOFF Alexandra 3% 33% 44% 18% 2% -
106 DAVIA Daniella V. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
107 HORSLEY Asherah - - 2% 15% 38% 36% 8%
107 YU Lauren C. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
109 DIMAS Constanca 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -
110 PENG Amber L. 2% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
111 SEO IRENE Y. 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
112 COOPER Piper W. 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
113 CHEN Chloe I. 6% 27% 41% 22% 4% - -
114 WALKER Mayah J. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
115 FREEDMAN Miranda W. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
116 SEAL Julie T. 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
116 LEE Ji Ahn 20% 48% 26% 6% 1% - -
118 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
119 BRADFORD Meeah 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
120 SUN Ruoxi 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
121 MI Anning 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
122 FUNG Vera 7% 30% 40% 19% 3% - -
123 TALWALKAR Apoorva 15% 43% 31% 10% 1% - -
123 HALL Velma 1% 12% 42% 33% 11% 1% -
125 KOSTELNY Alexis 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
126 KHOO Lauren A. 8% 35% 40% 16% 2%
127 ZHAO Sophie L. 7% 31% 41% 18% 2%
128 GU Maggie Runlin 44% 41% 13% 2% -
129 ADLER Polly Z. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
130 LI Rachel Y. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
131 CHO Taylor S. 1% 20% 45% 30% 4% -
132 ROY Layla 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
133 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
133 LUO Sandra J. 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% -
135 WU Kyra 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
136 DEBACK Greta I. 4% 24% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
137 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
138 CHEN Jessie S. - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
139 RANDOLPH Piper 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
140 HU Felice 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
141 LIN Zhi tong 4% 42% 39% 13% 2% - -
142 LI Sophia M. 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
143 NIKOLIC Alexandra 31% 52% 15% 1% - - -
144 JO Mia C. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
145 CROMPTON Celia N. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
145 LI Shuang 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
147 SHENG Chuxi 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
148 MERGES Gretl C. 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
149 UPTON Elizabeth 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
149 WONG Sophia M. 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
149 HOANG Mai 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -
152 CODAZZI chiara 7% 28% 36% 21% 7% 1% -
153 ZAMELIS Madelyn 86% 14% 1% - - - -
154 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
155 BATRA Chaahat 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
156 HUNG Juliana K. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
157 ZHUANG Sophie 76% 22% 2% - - -
158 DE LA CRUZ Eden 5% 26% 42% 23% 3% -
159 HAYES Alyssa R. 15% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
160 WEINTRAUB Io H. 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
160 BURBERRY Livia 65% 30% 5% - - - -
162 SHA Yi Ling 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
162 WHELAN Amelia 43% 43% 13% 1% - - -
164 YURKOVA Mariia 23% 43% 27% 6% 1% - -
165 ZHANG Eunice 45% 45% 9% 1% - - -
166 MAO Rebecca J. 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.