January NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 DUBROVICH Jacqueline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
3 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 30%
5 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
6 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
7 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
8 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
9 RIVANO Camilla 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
10 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
11 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
12 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
13 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
14 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
15 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
16 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
17 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
18 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 5%
19 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
20 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
21 CATANTAN Samantha Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 52%
22 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
23 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
24 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
25 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52% 9%
26 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9% 1%
27 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
28 CHEN Allison V. 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
29 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
30 MEI Sarah 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
31 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
32 XUE Alanna L. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
33 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
34 MYRONIUK Dariia 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
35 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
36 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
37 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
38 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 2%
39 HAYES Nadia 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% -
40 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
41 CAO Ying 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
41 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
43 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31% 3%
44 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
45 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15% 1%
46 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
47 KOROL Neta 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
48 WANDJI Anais 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1% -
49 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 6%
50 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
50 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
52 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22% 2%
53 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 6% -
54 CAULFIELD Jane 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
55 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
56 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 3%
57 KIM Rachael 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
58 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 7%
59 JING Emily 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
60 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7% -
61 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
62 SENIC Adeline 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
63 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4% -
64 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16% 1%
65 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
66 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
67 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
68 BREKER Anika 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
69 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
70 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
71 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
72 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% 1%
73 BIASCO Anna 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
74 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
75 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
76 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
77 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 5%
78 LUU Shanon K. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
79 LEE Alina 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 12%
80 KIM Rachel 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
81 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 99% 79% 35% 4% -
82 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 98% 83% 46% 11% 1%
83 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
84 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
85 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
86 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
87 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
88 CEPERO Rosabel 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
89 YANG Iris 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
90 CHIN Sia 100% 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
91 RENTON Samantha 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
92 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
93 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
94 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
94 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
96 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
97 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
98 MI Aileen 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
99 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
100 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
101 YAO Ada 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
102 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
103 KOROL Dana 100% 61% 20% 4% - -
104 WANG Zoie Z. 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
105 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 97% 64% 20% 2% -
106 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
107 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
107 YU Lauren C. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
109 DIMAS Constanca 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
110 PENG Amber L. 100% 98% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
111 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
112 COOPER Piper W. 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
113 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% - -
114 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
115 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
116 SEAL Julie T. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
116 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 80% 32% 6% 1% - -
118 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
119 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 89% 49% 13% 2% - -
120 SUN Ruoxi 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
121 MI Anning 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
122 FUNG Vera 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% - -
123 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 85% 42% 11% 2% - -
123 HALL Velma 100% 99% 87% 45% 12% 1% -
125 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
126 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 92% 57% 17% 2%
127 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 93% 62% 21% 2%
128 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 56% 15% 2% -
129 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
130 LI Rachel Y. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
131 CHO Taylor S. 100% 99% 78% 34% 4% -
132 ROY Layla 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
133 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
133 LUO Sandra J. 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
135 WU Kyra 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
136 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% 1% -
137 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 98% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
138 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
139 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
140 HU Felice 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
141 LIN Zhi tong 100% 96% 54% 15% 2% - -
142 LI Sophia M. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
143 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 69% 17% 2% - - -
144 JO Mia C. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
145 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
145 LI Shuang 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
147 SHENG Chuxi 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
148 MERGES Gretl C. 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% -
149 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
149 WONG Sophia M. 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
149 HOANG Mai 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
152 CODAZZI chiara 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
153 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 14% 1% - - - -
154 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
155 BATRA Chaahat 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
156 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
157 ZHUANG Sophie 100% 24% 2% - - -
158 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
159 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 85% 43% 12% 2% - -
160 WEINTRAUB Io H. 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
160 BURBERRY Livia 100% 35% 5% - - - -
162 SHA Yi Ling 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
162 WHELAN Amelia 100% 57% 14% 2% - - -
164 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
165 ZHANG Eunice 100% 55% 10% 1% - - -
166 MAO Rebecca J. 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.