January NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Zoe - - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
2 LIN Audrey J. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 28% 8%
3 POSSICK Lola P. - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
3 LEE Hannah - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
5 LIU Sophie - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
6 OISHI Megumi - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
7 JUNG Irene - 1% 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
8 BOIS Adele - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
9 CHIN Erika J. - - 1% 10% 33% 42% 13%
10 LEE Alexandra B. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
11 LU Vivian Y. - - - - 6% 30% 64%
12 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
13 TZOU Alexandra - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
14 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
15 BUHAY Rachel T. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
16 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
17 HILD Nisha - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
18 TONG Kunling - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16%
19 MIKA Veronica - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
20 DUCKETT Madison - - 2% 11% 34% 42% 12%
21 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
21 PAUL Lila - - 4% 23% 40% 27% 6%
23 MARSEE Samantha - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
24 CAO Stephanie X. - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
25 MOZHAEVA MARIA - - 4% 24% 48% 23%
26 OLSEN Natalie J. - - 2% 14% 45% 39%
27 CARVALHO Isabela A. - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
28 MCKEE Brynnley - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
29 ERIKSON Kira R. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
30 ANDRES Katherine A. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
31 SHI Cathleen - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
32 FESTA Carina 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
33 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
34 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
35 BILILIES Sophia - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
36 XIAO julie 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
37 SADOVA Olga 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
38 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
39 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
40 LIU Zhi Jun 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
41 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
42 CHEN Xiaohan - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
43 TAO Hannah J. - - 1% 9% 29% 43% 19%
44 BLUM Leah I. - - 2% 11% 34% 42% 11%
45 KIM Marley I. - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
46 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
46 LIU Yifei 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
48 WU Helen 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
49 NEWELL Alexia C. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
50 YANG Angelina LeLe - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
51 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 6% 31% 39% 20% 5% - -
52 YANG Ashley M. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
53 SENOGLU Irmak 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
54 LIGH Erenei J. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
55 GHAYALOD reya - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
56 LACSON Sarah - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
57 FEIG Sela 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
58 VADASZ Ibla P. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
59 SHEARER Natalie E. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
60 GORMAN Victoria M. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
61 NGUYEN Siena 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 2% -
62 ENDO Miyuki N. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
63 LU Amy 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
64 KER Grace - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
65 CHANG Josephine S. - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
66 ATLURI Sara V. - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
67 SATHYANATH Kailing - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
68 HE Charlotte - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
69 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
70 SO Catelyn 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
71 NATH Trisha - 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
72 CHEN Ashley 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
73 MARYASH Samantha 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
74 TABANGAY Heartlyn 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
75 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
76 CHIANG Emily 1% 6% 27% 43% 20% 3%
77 NYSTROM Sofia C. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
78 SPRINGER Ella 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
79 CHIN Sophia J. - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
80 WIGGERS Susan Q. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
81 HOLMES Emma 4% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
82 LU Elaine 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
82 PABIAN Emilia 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
84 BARNOVITZ Maya - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
85 JOHNSON Dagny L. 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
85 LEE Sophia 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
85 SOURIMTO Valeria - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
88 ZHANG Victoria 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
89 CHANG Audrey 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
90 WU Erica L. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
91 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
92 DEPEW Charlotte R. - 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
93 STONE Hava S. - 1% 10% 30% 39% 18% 2%
93 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
95 KHAN Alissa 14% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
96 DILLE Carolina G. 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
96 SCOTT Eve 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
98 SINHA Anika 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
99 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
100 NATHANSON Sammy E. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
101 SHUM Cindy 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
102 LIN Nicole 14% 39% 35% 11% 1% -
103 TUNG Renee 13% 38% 36% 12% 1% -
104 HWANG Gabriela M. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
105 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
106 CHANG Emily - 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
107 LI Amanda C. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
108 XIKES Katherine E. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
108 YANG Lea 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
110 SZETO Chloe - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
111 NI Sharon - 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
111 OBRADOVIC Ana 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
113 FEARNS Zara A. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
114 DAI Olivia 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
115 NGUYEN Ella 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
115 FANG Sophie 15% 43% 33% 8% 1% - -
117 YU Zhiang 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
118 KIM Sujin 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
118 DHAR Aamina 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
120 KATZ Anat - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
120 HUNG Anna 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
122 MATAIEV Natalie S. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
123 TONG Jessie 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
124 JEFFORDS Sophia 42% 43% 14% 1% - - -
125 SCHICK Veronica 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
126 STONE Coral 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
127 HORMEL Molly 77% 21% 2% - - - -
128 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
129 ATTIA Jasmine 25% 47% 23% 5% - - -
130 JEONG Katie 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
131 MAKLIN Sofia 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
132 ISBERG Natalie 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
133 BALAKUMARAN Maya - 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
134 MUND Ruth 8% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
135 ELSHAKANKIRI Janna 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
136 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn - < 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
136 PAL Anjali G. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
136 YUAN Greta - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
139 CHIN Elise 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
140 WEI Vivian W. 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
141 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
142 FAN Grace 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
142 HUANG MADELINE 2% 25% 41% 25% 6% 1% -
144 CHAVAN Arya 44% 45% 10% 1% - - -
145 TREACY Aisling 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
146 CHO Michelle 30% 51% 17% 2% - - -
147 YAN Lena 28% 44% 22% 5% - - -
148 YEN Natalie 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
149 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
149 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
149 DONG Angel 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
152 DAVIS Jayna M. 1% 15% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
152 CHEN Jessica 8% 35% 42% 14% 2% - -
154 BROWN Delaney 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
155 DUDNICK Morgan 38% 45% 15% 2% - - -
156 HOVERMAN Hannah A. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
156 ELNATAN Mica A. 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
156 HU Michelle 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
156 WALLER London 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
160 PASSALARIS Joanna M. 72% 24% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.