January NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
2 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
3 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
5 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
6 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
7 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 26% 4%
8 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
9 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13%
10 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
11 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
12 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
13 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
14 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
15 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 99% 93% 70% 37% 11% 1%
16 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
17 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
18 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
19 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
20 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 12%
21 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
21 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
23 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
24 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
25 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
26 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
27 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
28 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
29 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
30 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
31 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
32 FESTA Carina 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
33 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
34 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
35 BILILIES Sophia 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
36 XIAO julie 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
37 SADOVA Olga 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
38 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
39 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
40 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 99% 85% 51% 19% 4% -
41 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
42 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
43 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 19%
44 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 11%
45 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
46 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
46 LIU Yifei 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
48 WU Helen 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
49 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
50 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
51 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
52 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
53 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
54 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
55 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
56 LACSON Sarah 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
57 FEIG Sela 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
58 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 12%
59 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
60 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
61 NGUYEN Siena 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
62 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
63 LU Amy 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
64 KER Grace 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
65 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
66 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
67 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
68 HE Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
69 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
70 SO Catelyn 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
71 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
72 CHEN Ashley 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
73 MARYASH Samantha 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
74 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
75 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
76 CHIANG Emily 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% 3%
77 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
78 SPRINGER Ella 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2% -
79 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
80 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
81 HOLMES Emma 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
82 LU Elaine 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% 1%
82 PABIAN Emilia 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
84 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
85 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
85 LEE Sophia 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
85 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
88 ZHANG Victoria 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
89 CHANG Audrey 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
90 WU Erica L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
91 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
92 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
93 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
93 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
95 KHAN Alissa 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
96 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
96 SCOTT Eve 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
98 SINHA Anika 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
99 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
100 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
101 SHUM Cindy 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
102 LIN Nicole 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
103 TUNG Renee 100% 87% 49% 13% 1% -
104 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 3%
105 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
106 CHANG Emily 100% 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
107 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
108 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
108 YANG Lea 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
110 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
111 NI Sharon 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
111 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
113 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
114 DAI Olivia 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
115 NGUYEN Ella 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
115 FANG Sophie 100% 85% 43% 9% 1% - -
117 YU Zhiang 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
118 KIM Sujin 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
118 DHAR Aamina 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
120 KATZ Anat 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
120 HUNG Anna 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
122 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
123 TONG Jessie 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
124 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 58% 15% 1% - - -
125 SCHICK Veronica 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
126 STONE Coral 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
127 HORMEL Molly 100% 23% 2% - - - -
128 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
129 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
130 JEONG Katie 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
131 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
132 ISBERG Natalie 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% - -
133 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
134 MUND Ruth 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
135 ELSHAKANKIRI Janna 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
136 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
136 PAL Anjali G. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
136 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
139 CHIN Elise 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
140 WEI Vivian W. 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
141 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
142 FAN Grace 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
142 HUANG MADELINE 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
144 CHAVAN Arya 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
145 TREACY Aisling 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
146 CHO Michelle 100% 70% 19% 2% - - -
147 YAN Lena 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
148 YEN Natalie 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
149 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
149 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
149 DONG Angel 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
152 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 4% -
152 CHEN Jessica 100% 92% 58% 16% 2% - -
154 BROWN Delaney 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
155 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
156 HOVERMAN Hannah A. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
156 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
156 HU Michelle 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
156 WALLER London 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
160 PASSALARIS Joanna M. 100% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.