January NAC

Veteran Men's Saber

Sunday, January 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Ivan J. - - - - - 6% 94%
2 ELBAKRY Mahmoud - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
3 BACON Michael F. - - - - 4% 31% 65%
3 NEVEROVICH Vitaly V. - - - 4% 22% 47% 27%
5 THORNTON Ronald J. - - - - 1% 19% 79%
6 MATT Chris - - - 1% 11% 51% 36%
7 WAXLER Aaron M. - 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
8 BUKOWSKI Todd - - 3% 17% 45% 33% 3%
9 MAKOGON Sergey - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
10 PENTON Robert - - - 4% 26% 55% 15%
11 CHU Kevin - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
12 ZIPPER Michael E. - - 3% 18% 44% 32% 3%
13 KALLIO Jeffrey E. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
14 ANFORA Andrew T. - 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
15 GRAFF Jon - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12% -
16 BAKER Keith L. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% -
17 ZIRKLE James 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3% < 1%
18 YUNG Wang Y. - 1% 8% 34% 44% 13% 1%
19 ZOLLER Matthew 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
20 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 1% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2% -
21 LUKIBANOV Oleg - - 2% 12% 37% 46% 4%
22 HERNDON Jameson D. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
22 ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
24 KRASNICH Mike - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
25 ZINNI Gene 4% 24% 42% 25% 5% - -
26 ISSA Naoum P. 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
27 KAOURIS George - 3% 17% 35% 33% 11% -
28 LEAR Donald W. - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7% -
28 BABAYEV Ethan I. 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% - -
30 KASTOR Jacaeber - - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
31 DUDNICK Christian 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
32 SZATHMARY Michael J. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
33 CAISSE Michael J. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
34 LILLARD Samuel N. - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
35 PLONKA Derek 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
36 GRAINGER Robert 1% 13% 35% 37% 12% 1% -
37 KATZ Jason 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
38 BARANOVSKY Valera 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
39 SU Ji 8% 44% 35% 11% 2% - -
40 HICHA Paul R. - 1% 15% 45% 32% 6% -
41 DAHL Chris 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
42 WANG Albert 15% 53% 27% 4% - - -
43 FIROOZI Farzeen - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
44 ELDER John 2% 20% 51% 23% 3% - -
45 DHAR asif 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
46 BOYLAN John R. 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 4% -
47 SEGALE William J. 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
48 CRETEN joachim 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% - -
49 DAWSON Todd 6% 31% 39% 20% 4% - -
50 BIESIADA Jacek W. 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
51 ASHBY Rob 62% 33% 5% - - - -
52 STONE Brad 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
53 GORMLEY Peter J. 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
54 GREEN Robert 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
55 SIMS Martin L. 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
56 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 75% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.