January NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Monday, January 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
2 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 36%
3 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
3 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
5 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
6 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
7 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 4%
8 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
9 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
10 WANG Elizabeth 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
11 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
12 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
12 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
14 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
15 CALDERARO Margherita 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 41% 19% 6% 1% -
16 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 38% 16% 4% 1% -
17 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 47% 24% 9% 2% - - -
18 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
18 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
20 XIAO Ruien 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
21 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
22 GU Sarah 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 4%
23 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
23 NING Emma 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
25 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8%
26 BOUDREAU Justine 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 53% 29% 12% 4% 1% - -
27 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 43% 19% 5% 1%
27 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
29 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 57% 27% 6%
30 KWON Athina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 55% 30% 12% 3% - -
31 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 55% 30% 12% 3% - -
32 ROSS Naomi O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 63% 38% 17% 5% 1% -
33 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
33 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
35 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
36 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
37 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 59% 33% 13% 3% - -
37 YIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 41% 19% 6% 1% -
39 HU Grace 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 3%
40 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
41 MYLER AnneMarie 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 36% 17% 6% 1% - - -
42 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 35% 14% 3% -
43 WANG Nora 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 48% 24% 8% 2% - -
44 MILLETTE Marie Frederique 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 37% 13% 2%
45 FORNARIS Susana 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 77% 49% 19% 3%
46 DORVAL Anne-Marie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 64% 36% 13% 3% -
47 KHARCHYNA Polina 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 58% 33% 14% 4% 1% -
48 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 74% 49% 23% 7% 1%
49 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 24% 7% 1% -
50 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
51 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 52% 25% 7% 1%
52 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 45% 23% 8% 2% - -
53 MAO Amy 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 40% 19% 6% 1% - -
54 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 47% 22% 6% 1%
55 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 53% 26% 7% 1%
56 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 42% 21% 7% 2% - -
57 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 60% 35% 15% 4% 1% -
58 WU Amelia 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 57% 32% 13% 3% - -
59 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 74% 50% 26% 10% 3% - - -
60 ANDERSON Claire 100% 97% 86% 62% 35% 15% 5% 1% - - - - -
61 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 32% 13% 4% 1% - -
62 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 99% 93% 79% 57% 32% 14% 4% 1% - - -
63 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 49% 25% 9% 2% - - -
64 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 99% 94% 79% 54% 28% 11% 3% 1% - - - -
65 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 33% 14% 4% 1% - - -
66 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 64% 34% 11% 2%
67 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 52% 28% 10% 2% - -
68 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 39% 18% 6% 1% - - -
68 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
70 HUELLAS-BRUSKIEWICZ Marie-Rose R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 53% 29% 12% 3% 1% - -
71 GUJJA Misha 100% 98% 88% 65% 37% 15% 4% 1% - - - -
72 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 52% 26% 9% 2% - - -
73 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 47% 23% 8% 2% - - -
74 VAN MARION Kirsten C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 54% 28% 10% 3% - - -
74 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 43% 21% 7% 2% - -
76 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 47% 23% 8% 2% - - -
77 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 53% 28% 11% 3% 1% - - -
77 MELLES Anne-Mai 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 53% 29% 11% 3% 1% - -
79 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 58% 32% 13% 3% 1% - -
80 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 49% 25% 8% 2% -
81 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
82 ZHOU Wenjun 100% 99% 93% 77% 51% 26% 10% 3% 1% - - -
83 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 47% 23% 8% 2% - -
84 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 86% 67% 41% 18% 5% 1%
84 ISERT Sarah 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
86 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
87 POLANICHKA Nicole P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 46% 22% 8% 2% - - -
87 PROCTOR Sara J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 47% 23% 8% 2% - -
87 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 97% 81% 54% 27% 10% 2% - - - - - -
90 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 38% 17% 6% 1% - - -
90 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 49% 25% 10% 2% - -
92 LORD Sarah-Eve 100% 96% 81% 54% 27% 10% 3% 1% - - - - -
93 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 32% 13% 4% 1% - -
94 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 100% 92% 68% 37% 14% 4% 1% - - - - - -
95 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 47% 24% 8% 2% - -
96 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 97% 88% 69% 43% 20% 7% 2% - - - -
97 KIM Jayna 100% 99% 90% 69% 41% 18% 5% 1% - - - - -
98 KALE Anika A. 100% 100% 99% 96% 83% 60% 33% 13% 3% 1% - -
99 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
100 FOELLMER Kristin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
101 LU Junyao 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
102 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
103 FAN Elizabeth 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
104 MUN Brianna K. 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
105 REID Sobia 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
106 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
107 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
108 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
109 LIU Christina A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 18% 2%
110 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 16%
111 CANNING Charlotte 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
112 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
113 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
113 YAO Yilin 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
115 SONG Angela 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
116 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
117 FENG ge 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
118 DESAI Meera P. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
119 YOU Emily 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
120 WEBER Nora 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
121 ELSTON Sophia 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
122 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
123 ZHENG Evelyn 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 1%
124 SENYUVA Su 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
125 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 99% 93% 75% 43% 15% 2%
126 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
126 BEI Karen 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 9%
128 LEE Olive 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
129 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
130 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
131 ASHER Valerie 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
132 DOUGLAS Elizabeth (Liz) L. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
133 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
134 LIN Elaine 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
135 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
136 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
136 SHU Youshan 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
136 LI Fei 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
139 WELLS Tessa (Tesla) M. 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
140 LEE Olivia 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 5% -
141 LOMBARD Ella 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
142 BINDAS Blodwen S. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
143 SMUK Daria A. 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
144 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
145 WITTE Vera 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
146 LEE yat ching 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
147 JOBALIA Ria 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
148 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 100% 94% 62% 22% 3% - -
149 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
150 FURMAN Maria 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
151 LU Samantha R. 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
152 LONADIER Keira 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
152 CARRIER Meredith 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
152 SUN MANRONG 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
155 BUSH emma 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
156 LANZMAN Anna B. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
157 TONG Sarah Shen 100% 99% 94% 74% 43% 15% 2%
158 LIANG Jingjing 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
159 HENDRICK Heidi M. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
160 MINOR Lindsey 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
161 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
162 BOTNER Olivia 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
163 LEE Yedda 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
164 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
165 SU Evelyn 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
166 AZMEH nour 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
167 LIN Ashley 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
168 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
169 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
170 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
171 CHA Eugenie 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
172 YAO Melinda 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
173 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
174 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
175 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
176 SHIV Avni 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
177 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30%
178 NI Emma 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
179 KUMAR Eva 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
180 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
181 YAO KATHARINE 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
181 HICKS Grace 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
183 HONG Elaine 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% -
184 HUANG Lanlan 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
185 LONG Cindy 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
186 POIRIER Ariane 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
187 TAPIA Sandy 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
187 AI Amy 100% 93% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
189 CHANG Celine A. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
190 GAO Judy 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% -
191 ENRILE Erica 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
192 YAO Jillian 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
193 CHENG Ava 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
194 LI Charlotte 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
195 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.