January NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Monday, January 9, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 2% 12% 39% 46%
2 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
3 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 LIANG Connor - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
5 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
6 MORRILL William - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
7 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
8 FENG Leo - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
9 DESROSIERS Olivier - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
10 CHON Taylor A. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
11 WANG Robert 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
12 LINSKY Matthew - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
13 WU Roger (Mengke) - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
14 DODRILL Grant - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
15 SO Hananiah - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
16 SOHN Kevin J. - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
17 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
18 LAI Adam J. - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 29%
19 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% < 1%
20 BERGER Oliver - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
21 HOLZ Daniel - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
22 DIACOS Jordan - 1% 10% 30% 37% 20% 3%
23 HOLZ William A. - 2% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
24 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
25 MICLAUS Justin - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
26 HOUTZ Jackson - 1% 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
27 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 4%
28 ERMAKOV Lev - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
29 XU William 1% 6% 25% 40% 25% 3%
30 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
31 BERMAN Luca - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
32 HAMMERSTROM Jared - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
33 JI Cody Walter - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
34 DHINGRA Gian K. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
35 BERRIO Carter E. - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
36 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
37 BAE Jason I. - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
38 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
39 LEE Aydan J. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
40 KIM Shaun M. - 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
41 LUEBBE Macklan C - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
42 WONG Ryan - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
43 CHAN Matthew - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
44 KOGAN Benjamin - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
45 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
46 CHTERENTAL Alex 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
47 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
48 KOTOV Leonid 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
49 PATIL Aaryan A. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
50 KIM Matthew 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
51 YUN Jaesun - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
52 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
53 MAKLIN Edward P. - 2% 10% 29% 36% 20% 3%
54 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
55 OH Triton - 7% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
56 ZEWDA Kebron 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
57 PENG Bryan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
58 LIN Daniel 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
59 GHAYALOD ansh 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
60 TONG ZACHARY - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 6%
61 ZUBATIY Samuel - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
62 NOBLE Daniel - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 7%
63 BONSELL Vance 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
64 LIMB Matthew G. - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
65 WOOD Elden S. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
66 LIM William J. - 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
67 GHENEA George Philipe - 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
68 JIANG Anthony - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
69 LEE Justin - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
70 SKINNER Graham B. - 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
71 REYES Xavier M. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
72 MARGULIES William - 2% 22% 45% 26% 5%
73 POPE Nico 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
74 DENNER Maximilian P. - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
74 VO Minh Q. 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
76 HARVEY Nicholas J. - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
77 LUTHRA Arjun 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
78 GAO Albert 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
79 BRAR Sanjeet - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
80 QIU Nathan - 4% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
81 BARBER William S. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
82 REN James - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
83 YANG Ziyi - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
84 CHEN Evan P. - 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
85 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
86 HUSSAIN Faaris - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 20%
86 KROON Lucas 2% 19% 36% 29% 12% 2% -
88 LI Minghan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
88 WANG Nicolas 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
90 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
91 TANN Justin - 1% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
92 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 7% 42% 39% 11% 1%
93 BHATIA Ekam 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
94 SMITH Vaughn 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
95 XUE ALEXANDER - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
96 DILLREE Spencer S. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
96 NOBLE Colin - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
98 KIM Andrew H. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
98 TRUDNOS Allen - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
100 FIELDS Matthew S. 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
100 FERNANDEZ Liam 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
102 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 1%
102 WOODWARD Connor - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
104 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
104 SHOMAN Zachary - 1% 10% 31% 38% 19% 3%
106 HAN Daniel Y. 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% -
107 HAN Edward 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
108 MAGUIRE Matthew V. - 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
109 PIWOWAR Alex 1% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
110 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Colin 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
111 MORRILL Justin - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
112 RIGHTLER Samuel - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
113 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
114 HAN William 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
115 JEFFORDS Alexander - - 5% 27% 47% 21%
116 DENG Andrew 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
117 DUDNICK Christian 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
118 DENNER Lysander H. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
118 CADAMBI Roshan 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
120 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
121 CHEONG Heonjun 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
122 CHEONG Heonjae - 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
122 HONG Steven - 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
124 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 14% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
125 COLE Alexander 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
126 CHAN Aidan 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
127 TAO Jeffrey 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
128 DALAL Rohan 3% 66% 28% 4% - -
129 REN Richard - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
130 KIM Alexander M. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
131 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
132 STONE Esmond A. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
133 MCCARTHY Devan 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
134 WAXLER Seth B. 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
135 PAN Alex 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
136 BULL Anderson - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
137 HOPPA Luke H. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
138 SU Landon 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
139 XU Andrew 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
140 BEITEL Noah 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
141 LUO George F. - 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
141 GUZZO Vito - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
143 ZHU Charlie 5% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
144 HO Kaden M. - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
144 NG Jeremiah 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
146 MAY Griffin M. 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
147 MORALES Jonathan 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
147 LE Hayden - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
149 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
150 KUSHKOV Daniel 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
151 ZHOU Miles 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% -
152 EDELMAN Seth A. 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
153 TENG MATTHEW 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
154 HERNANDEZ Stanton 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
155 PANDEY Neil - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
156 LAGROU Emerson R. 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
157 ZHOU Matthew R. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 6%
157 ZHANG Derek 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
159 RADJABLI Maximillian 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
160 PI Alexander 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
160 DEKA Tanush 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
162 LO Konnor 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
163 GLOZMAN Justin 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
164 BRUTUS Caleb 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
165 POSY Daniel 18% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
166 SMINK Oliver 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
167 PARK Caleb 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
168 RAMANAN Jaisimh 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
169 BOUKHTIN Maxim 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
170 HUANG Alexander C. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
171 SCHARDINE James 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
172 SHOMAN Noah - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
173 YEN Preston - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
174 DECK Tyson 15% 56% 24% 4% - - -
174 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
176 CAISSE Simon B. 1% 35% 41% 19% 4% - -
177 ELLS Edward 6% 32% 38% 19% 5% - -
177 LIM Joshua 27% 46% 22% 4% - - -
179 TASIKAS Stylianos 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
180 SHI Erick 9% 49% 33% 8% 1% - -
181 VAUGHN Jason 31% 46% 19% 4% - - -
182 BOWEI Yang 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
183 KESSLER Josh 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
184 LUCAS Hayden 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
185 VOSS Jeffer 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
186 ZENG Noah - 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
187 ZHOU Aeres Z. 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
188 FERBER Oliver E. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
189 ZHANG Ethan W. 2% 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
190 WONG Ethan 69% 27% 4% - - - -
191 GRAINGER Graeme 21% 58% 19% 2% - - -
192 KESSLER Nathan 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
193 GAUVEY Kieran 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
194 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
194 KASPER Aaron 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
196 YOU Jaden 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
196 VAROQUA Nalby 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
198 COHEN Charlie 71% 27% 2% - - - -
199 BARROWS Hunter 88% 12% 1% - - - -
200 SIMMONS John M. 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
200 FANG Eason 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
202 PERRY Gwydion 96% 4% - - - -
203 WU Richard 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
203 JIN David 96% 4% - - - - -
205 KUSANAGI Soshi 65% 32% 3% - - - -
206 HENDERSON Jack 77% 22% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.