January NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Monday, January 9, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
2 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
3 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
5 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
6 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
7 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
8 FENG Leo 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
9 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
10 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
11 WANG Robert 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
12 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
13 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
14 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
15 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
16 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
17 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
18 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 29%
19 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 6% < 1%
20 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
21 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
22 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
23 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
24 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
25 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
26 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5%
27 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 30% 4%
28 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
29 XU William 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
30 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
31 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
32 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
33 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
34 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
35 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
36 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
37 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 3%
38 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
39 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
40 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
41 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
42 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
43 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
44 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
45 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
46 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
47 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
48 KOTOV Leonid 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
49 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
50 KIM Matthew 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
51 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
52 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
53 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
54 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
55 OH Triton 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
56 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 6% -
57 PENG Bryan 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
58 LIN Daniel 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
59 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
60 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
61 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
62 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
63 BONSELL Vance 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
64 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
65 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
66 LIM William J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
67 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
68 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
69 LEE Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
70 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
71 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
72 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 98% 76% 31% 5%
73 POPE Nico 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
74 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
74 VO Minh Q. 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
76 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
77 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
78 GAO Albert 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
79 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
80 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% -
81 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
82 REN James 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
83 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
84 CHEN Evan P. 100% 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
85 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
86 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
86 KROON Lucas 100% 98% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
88 LI Minghan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
88 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
90 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
91 TANN Justin 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
92 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 93% 51% 12% 1%
93 BHATIA Ekam 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
94 SMITH Vaughn 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
95 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
96 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
96 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
98 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
98 TRUDNOS Allen 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
100 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
100 FERNANDEZ Liam 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
102 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
102 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
104 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 9%
104 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
106 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
107 HAN Edward 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
108 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
109 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
110 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Colin 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
111 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
112 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
113 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
114 HAN William 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
115 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 21%
116 DENG Andrew 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
117 DUDNICK Christian 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
118 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
118 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
120 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
121 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
122 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
122 HONG Steven 100% 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% -
124 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
125 COLE Alexander 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
126 CHAN Aidan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
127 TAO Jeffrey 100% 97% 80% 41% 10% 1%
128 DALAL Rohan 100% 97% 32% 4% - -
129 REN Richard 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
130 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 18% 2%
131 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
132 STONE Esmond A. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
133 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
134 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
135 PAN Alex 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
136 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
137 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
138 SU Landon 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
139 XU Andrew 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
140 BEITEL Noah 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
141 LUO George F. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
141 GUZZO Vito 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
143 ZHU Charlie 100% 95% 68% 30% 8% 1% -
144 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
144 NG Jeremiah 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
146 MAY Griffin M. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
147 MORALES Jonathan 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
147 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
149 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
150 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
151 ZHOU Miles 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
152 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
153 TENG MATTHEW 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
154 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
155 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
156 LAGROU Emerson R. 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
157 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
157 ZHANG Derek 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
159 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
160 PI Alexander 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
160 DEKA Tanush 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
162 LO Konnor 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
163 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
164 BRUTUS Caleb 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
165 POSY Daniel 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
166 SMINK Oliver 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
167 PARK Caleb 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
168 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
169 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
170 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
171 SCHARDINE James 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
172 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
173 YEN Preston 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
174 DECK Tyson 100% 85% 29% 5% - - -
174 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
176 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 99% 64% 23% 4% - -
177 ELLS Edward 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% - -
177 LIM Joshua 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
179 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
180 SHI Erick 100% 91% 42% 9% 1% - -
181 VAUGHN Jason 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
182 BOWEI Yang 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
183 KESSLER Josh 100% 64% 23% 5% - - -
184 LUCAS Hayden 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
185 VOSS Jeffer 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
186 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
187 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
188 FERBER Oliver E. 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
189 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 98% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
190 WONG Ethan 100% 31% 4% - - - -
191 GRAINGER Graeme 100% 79% 22% 3% - - -
192 KESSLER Nathan 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
193 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
194 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
194 KASPER Aaron 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
196 YOU Jaden 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
196 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
198 COHEN Charlie 100% 29% 2% - - - -
199 BARROWS Hunter 100% 12% 1% - - - -
200 SIMMONS John M. 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
200 FANG Eason 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
202 PERRY Gwydion 100% 4% - - - -
203 WU Richard 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
203 JIN David 100% 4% - - - - -
205 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 35% 3% - - - -
206 HENDERSON Jack 100% 23% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.