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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	BUSH emma	-	-	1%	7%	26%	43%	23%
2	LEE Natasha	-	-	-	-	6%	38%	55%
3	JOYAL Anne-Sophie	-	-	-	3%	17%	42%	38%
3	PHUKAN Indra	-	1%	5%	21%	38%	28%	7%
5	OPERARIO Abigail Z.	-	3%	16%	38%	34%	9%
6	DUONG Zoey	-	4%	18%	35%	31%	10%
7	GUO Luxi	1%	5%	20%	35%	29%	9%
8	PECK Maia A.	-	-	-	5%	25%	51%	19%
9	MANDAP Svetlanna	1%	6%	20%	35%	29%	9%
10	WANG Angelina	-	1%	8%	27%	40%	23%
11	MUN Brianna K.	-	-	3%	17%	43%	38%
12	HSIU Elizabeth	-	1%	6%	21%	37%	29%	7%
13	MENDOZA zoie	-	4%	20%	36%	29%	10%	1%
14	GUZMAN CARDENAS natalie	-	3%	12%	27%	33%	20%	5%
15	OLORVIDA Isabella	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	3%	-
16	SALISTRA Emilia	6%	25%	36%	24%	8%	1%
17	LIANG Jingjing	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
18	PEI Audrey	2%	11%	29%	35%	20%	4%
19	BROWN Riley	2%	12%	29%	34%	19%	5%	-
20	DRYSDALE Lita	-	1%	10%	29%	37%	20%	3%
21	BENNETT Vienne	3%	18%	36%	31%	11%	1%	-
22	DALEY Keira	2%	19%	41%	29%	8%	1%
23	CHANG Celine A.	-	3%	19%	40%	31%	7%
24	GULLY Wren	-	4%	19%	38%	31%	7%	-
25	CZAPLA Dominika	13%	36%	35%	14%	2%	-	-
26	SCANLAN Claire	12%	33%	34%	17%	4%	-
27	HASIM Eurietta	5%	28%	39%	22%	6%	1%	-
28	XU Celina	2%	16%	35%	33%	12%	1%	-
29	STOMMEL-DIAZ Charly	5%	21%	35%	28%	10%	1%
30	SAID Riana	3%	15%	32%	32%	16%	3%
31	CHEN Samantha	55%	36%	8%	1%	-	-	-
32	NOYES Haley Mariam	2%	19%	38%	29%	10%	2%	-
33	CHENG Liwen	58%	35%	7%	1%	-	-
34	TSUI Zoe	13%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-	-
35	RUIZ Lusciana	8%	40%	37%	13%	2%	-
36	MAHAL Riya	10%	31%	35%	19%	5%	-
37	MOHEBI Neeka	19%	38%	30%	11%	2%	-
38	ESTRADA Ariana	14%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-	-
39	UM KIM Hyun Hee Lorena	24%	42%	26%	7%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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