Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 15, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
2 PEI Claire 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
3 JIANG chenxi 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
3 OLUYOLE Isabella 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
5 CARCELLER Bernardita 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
6 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9% 1%
7 ZHONG Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
8 OLELE Ifechi 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
9 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
10 ZHANG Jane 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
11 RAMEY Alexa 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
12 KAKANI Aditi 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
13 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
14 HARMON Nikkole 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
15 BUNCH Helena 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
16 TAYLOR Reagan 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
17 NGUYEN Renee 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
18 LEE Kate 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
19 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
20 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
21 DU Chloe 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
22 LEE Iona 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
23 SUN Milly 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
24 DONE Kennedy 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
25 CHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
26 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
27 KIM Yeju 100% 96% 78% 44% 16% 3% -
28 YANG Angela 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
29 MISHIMA Olivia 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
30 XU Aasta 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
31 NAZIR Farah 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
32 CHEN Madeline 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
33 MEGGERS Arya 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
34 THOMPSON Rhyleigh 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
35 HAN Emma 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
36 DU Chelsea 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
37 LI Ariel 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
38 CHOI Arianna 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
39 FAN Joy 100% 89% 52% 18% 3% - -
40 CAO Cynthia 100% 99% 90% 63% 30% 8% 1%
41 FAN Olivia 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1%
42 ZHAO Crystal 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.