Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 15, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
2 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
5 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
6 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
7 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
8 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
9 GUO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
10 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
11 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31%
12 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
13 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
14 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
15 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
16 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 30%
17 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
18 SONG Noel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 21%
19 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 25%
20 MAO Lucas 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
21 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 58%
22 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
23 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
24 JIANG Bowang 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
25 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
26 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
27 PARRISH Evan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
28 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
29 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
30 VADEN Oliver 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
31 WANG Brian 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
32 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
33 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
34 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
35 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
36 GERRISH William 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 15%
37 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 5%
38 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
39 SUN Ryan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
40 TANG Royce 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
41 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 99% 89% 48% 10%
42 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12%
43 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
44 XU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 4%
45 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 11%
46 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
47 HE Kyle 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
48 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
49 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
50 DHOKTE Neev 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7% -
51 CHUANG Oscar 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
52 YOON Junhyeok 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
53 STRINGER David 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
54 TANG Terry 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
55 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18%
56 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
57 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
58 FUKUDA Brando 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
59 LU Nathan 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 2% -
60 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
61 MOTOOKA Eito 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
62 SION Andrew 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% 1% -
63 XIE Buster 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
64 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
65 GOODLIN Sean 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 1% -
65 FENG Michael 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
67 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
68 DOELL Ethan 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
69 ZHANG Lucas 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
70 SURESH Rohan 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% 1%
71 BAI Brian 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
72 BRAIZINHA Thomas 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
73 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
74 MO Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
75 CHO Xzander 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
76 MANDZY Theodor 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
77 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
78 BHAN Amar 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
78 HELMY Richard 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
80 MENDEZ Ren 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
81 LIU ERIC 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 13% 1%
82 XIE Jicheng 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
83 SHANNON Jack 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
84 BAI Austin 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
85 LI Lianhan 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% -
86 HUA Aaron 100% 95% 70% 28% 5% -
87 XU Nathan 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% -
88 JIN Andy 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
89 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
90 LEE Eugene 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
91 GONZALEZ Oliver 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
92 ONIK Ari N. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
92 HUANG Chenghan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
94 SUAREZ David 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
95 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
96 LU Alex 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
97 ZHANG Alex 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
98 BLAM Aaron 100% 98% 70% 28% 6% - -
99 HOLLIS Sean 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
100 YANG Cooper 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
101 QIAN Henry 100% 93% 53% 14% 2% - -
102 LEE Charles T 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
103 TAM Kyle 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
104 FINDLAY Zachary 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
105 KAPLAN Abe 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
106 WONG Jacob W. 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
107 REN Ryan 100% 73% 30% 6% -
108 ZAIDI Adil 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
109 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
110 GRIEB Oliver 100% 97% 74% 23% 3% -
111 BOESKIN Nolan 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
112 SHAW Spencer 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
112 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 67% 16% 1% - -
114 COSSROW Alex 100% 59% 12% 1% - -
115 YU William 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6% -
116 HOU Gaven 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
117 MARTIRE Luca 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
117 XU Ethan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
119 FRASER Rhys 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
120 ZHENG Marcus 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
121 SANTOS Greyson 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
122 JURMAN Therin 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
123 WANG Luke 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
124 CHEN kenneth 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
125 VO Aidan 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
125 SUN Andy 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
127 JIANG Bohan 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
128 TSENG Lucas 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
129 TUCKER Nechiga 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
130 FRIEDMAN Marcus 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
131 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
132 ADAN Jacobo 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
133 ZHOU Alex 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
134 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
135 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 37% 6% - - - -
136 AGUILAR Eric 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
137 KO Caleb 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
138 BOWLES Kevin 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
139 SONG Yuxuan Austin 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
140 XU Joseph 100% 98% 76% 33% 5% - -
141 HONG Logan 100% 81% 38% 9% 1%
142 CHOI Jackson 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
143 CHANG Ian 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
144 FANG Haoyu 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
144 NOSIK Gabriel 100% 97% 77% 33% 6% - -
146 ZUCKER Joshua L. 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% - -
147 CHEN Hendrick 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.