Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, January 15, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
2 BROU Inkosi 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
3 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
5 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
6 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
7 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
8 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
9 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
10 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
11 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
12 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
13 BYON Julian 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 9%
14 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
15 DOWNEY Baran 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
16 DALAL Rohan 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
17 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
18 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
19 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
20 ETIN Ari 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
21 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
22 WU Richard 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
23 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
24 CHON Collin 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
25 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
26 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
27 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
28 LUCAS Hayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
29 TIAGI Daniel 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
30 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
31 HALL Noah 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% 1%
32 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
33 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
34 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
35 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 14%
35 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
37 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
38 NGO Maximus 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% 1%
39 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 7%
40 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
41 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
42 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
42 VAID Luke 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
44 SHAH Sajan 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
45 CHEN Samuel 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
46 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
47 GONG zihao 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
48 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
49 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
50 WANG Weiyun 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
51 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
52 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
53 PINTO Marcus 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
54 LI Maxwell 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
55 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
56 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
57 WANG Max 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
59 BONETTI Brayden 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
60 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
61 WONG Caleb W. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
62 ZHAO ERIC 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
63 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
64 SO Preston 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
65 ZHOU James Y. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 5%
66 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
67 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
68 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
70 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
71 MEHTA Krish 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
71 HE Bowen 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% -
73 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
74 GONG ziqian 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
75 KERCHER Alexander 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
76 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
77 TIAGI George 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
78 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11%
79 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
80 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
81 OH Aster 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
82 WALKE Devin 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
83 KUMAR Arjun 100% 96% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
84 LIN Felix 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
85 REHM Liam 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
86 WANG Michael 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
87 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
88 ZHAO Andy 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 3% -
89 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
90 FISHER Paul C. 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
91 HUNG Samuel 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
92 LIU Victor 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
93 WAXLER Ryan 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
94 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
95 LEE Andrew 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
96 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
97 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
98 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
99 BREUER Daniel 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
100 LIN Philip T. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
101 LASKOW Oliver 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
101 DEELY Hartigan 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
103 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
104 SUN Bill 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
105 YAN William 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
106 BEEBY PIERRE Wyatt 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
107 TSAO Alister 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
108 DRUZHININ Michael 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
109 FENG Weiting (Ryan) 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% - -
110 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
110 SOKOLOV Arseniy 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% - -
112 AO Christopher 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
113 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
114 GUREVICH Savely 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
115 MARGULIS Jared 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
116 SEN Christian 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
117 SLEP Solomon 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
118 MOYD Aaron 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
119 FRUTH Evan 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% -
119 XU Ivan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
119 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
119 FANG Eason 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
123 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
124 GONG Gavin 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
125 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 4% -
125 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
127 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
128 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
129 ORR Nolan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
130 BALU Aedan 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
131 PARKILA Lukas 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
132 JONES Elijah 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
133 ZHENG LEON 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
134 LIU Daniel 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
135 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
136 ZHOU William 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
136 ORLIN Edward 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
138 PARCELL Colby 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
139 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 52% 12% 2% - - -
140 RILEY "Jack" 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
141 MOLDABEK-MACHADO Aron 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
142 GOMEZ Emilio 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
142 LIM Kai 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% - -
144 GAO Kai 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
145 FARBER Jake 100% 38% 6% - - - -
146 CHOHAN Jibreel 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
147 TURECK Nathan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.