Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Monday, January 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMR HOSSNY Sara - - - - - 11% 88%
2 MCSHERRY Ava - - - 1% 9% 42% 48%
3 SUN Chloe - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 FENG Grace - - - 7% 34% 43% 16%
5 SHEN Emilia - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
6 FIELD Elizabeth - - - 4% 25% 50% 21%
7 YANG Emma - - 1% 13% 45% 40%
8 CHO Emily (Euran) - - - 3% 21% 47% 29%
9 SWANSON Alexa - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
10 CHERNYKH Elina - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 6%
11 PEVZNER Nicole - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
12 WANG Amabel - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
13 LI Han (Helina) - 3% 15% 37% 37% 9%
14 XIE Lillian - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
15 SHENG Katherine 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3%
16 KAPRAN Anastasia - - 3% 18% 47% 27% 5%
17 DENG Melissa - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
18 DAVIS Logan - - - 1% 17% 49% 33%
19 HARRIS Julia - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
20 LIU Enjia sherry - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
21 BROWN Lola - - 3% 20% 49% 27%
22 REN Kayley - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
23 ZELDIN Nadia - 2% 14% 41% 33% 10% 1%
24 WANG Joanna - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
25 ORRINGER Lottie - 2% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
26 MAGALLANES GABRIELA - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 10%
27 KUMAMOTO Shino - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
28 MCFARLANE Asha - 7% 27% 39% 23% 4% -
28 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite - - 3% 25% 48% 22% 3%
30 ZHANG Soleil C. - - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
31 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 1% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
32 CULLIVAN Sienna - - 1% 10% 36% 49% 5%
33 BING Charlotte - 2% 13% 35% 34% 13% 2%
34 FENG Audrey 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
35 MCSHERRY Kayla 2% 13% 34% 36% 15% 2%
36 JOO Natalie - 2% 17% 41% 34% 6%
37 WANG CAROL - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
38 CAVANAGH Emma 6% 28% 42% 21% 3% - -
38 JIANG Chloe 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
40 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
41 YACOBUCCI Nadia 1% 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
42 CHIANG Mila 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
43 HU Jenna - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4%
44 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily - 3% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
45 DESERANNO Seren 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
46 IQBAL Mariam - 1% 11% 46% 34% 7% -
47 HAFEZ Sahar 5% 27% 42% 21% 5% - -
48 LI Olivia - 5% 25% 41% 25% 4% -
49 WANG DINA C. 1% 7% 30% 40% 20% 3% -
50 HUSSIAN Annabelle 9% 36% 39% 15% 2% -
51 LIN Yunong 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
52 CAO Kayla 11% 45% 33% 10% 1% -
53 TAN Dorathy 1% 9% 32% 42% 15% 2%
54 MA Isabelle 6% 31% 42% 18% 3% -
55 LI Savannah 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
56 DONG Iris - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
57 BOIKE Lucille 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
58 JI Dora 18% 41% 29% 10% 1% - -
59 RAFFAELE Nancy 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
60 ZHANG Zoey 18% 43% 31% 8% - - -
61 KRAHE Annika 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
62 CAI Ilana 2% 18% 38% 30% 11% 1% -
63 LIU Caydence 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 6% -
64 BAULIN Zoya 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
65 YIN Chloe 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
66 MEITZEN Havah 16% 45% 34% 4% - - -
67 WANG Selina 31% 45% 20% 3% - - -
68 HUANG Natalie 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
69 BLANKS Campbell - 2% 15% 44% 32% 6%
70 FEDER Acadia 5% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
71 JUNCADELLA Lucy 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% - -
72 KIM Sophia 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
72 HUFFMAN Yunia - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
74 LI Doreen 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
75 REILLY Carys 69% 27% 4% - - - -
76 CAPPIELLO Francesca 23% 46% 27% 4% - - -
77 OWEN Alexandra 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
78 KIM Claire 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
79 ZAHRAN Emily 1% 12% 36% 39% 11% 1% -
80 LU Zoe 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
81 ACHESON Lilianne 74% 23% 3% - - - -
82 GANESH Vanshi 2% 46% 39% 11% 1% - -
83 ALLEN Sophia 63% 32% 5% - - -
84 EPSTEIN Naomi 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
84 PHAN Logan 3% 41% 40% 14% 2% - -
86 CHOI Cara 26% 48% 23% 2% - - -
87 ZHANG Amber 67% 29% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.