Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Monday, January 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
2 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
3 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 58% 16%
5 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
6 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 21%
7 YANG Emma 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
8 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
9 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
10 CHERNYKH Elina 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
11 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
12 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
13 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
14 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
15 SHENG Katherine 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
16 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32% 5%
17 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
18 DAVIS Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 33%
19 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
20 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
21 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 27%
22 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
23 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 98% 85% 44% 11% 1%
24 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
25 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 3%
26 MAGALLANES GABRIELA 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
27 KUMAMOTO Shino 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
28 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4% -
28 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 24% 3%
30 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 33%
31 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 99% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
32 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 5%
33 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
34 FENG Audrey 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
35 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
36 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 6%
37 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
38 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 94% 66% 24% 3% - -
38 JIANG Chloe 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% 1%
40 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
41 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
42 CHIANG Mila 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
43 HU Jenna 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
44 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
45 DESERANNO Seren 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 4% -
46 IQBAL Mariam 100% 100% 99% 89% 42% 8% -
47 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 95% 68% 26% 5% - -
48 LI Olivia 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4% -
49 WANG DINA C. 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 3% -
50 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
51 LIN Yunong 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
52 CAO Kayla 100% 89% 44% 11% 1% -
53 TAN Dorathy 100% 99% 90% 58% 16% 2%
54 MA Isabelle 100% 94% 63% 21% 3% -
55 LI Savannah 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
56 DONG Iris 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
57 BOIKE Lucille 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
58 JI Dora 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
59 RAFFAELE Nancy 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
60 ZHANG Zoey 100% 82% 39% 8% - - -
61 KRAHE Annika 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
62 CAI Ilana 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
63 LIU Caydence 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
64 BAULIN Zoya 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
65 YIN Chloe 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
66 MEITZEN Havah 100% 84% 39% 5% - - -
67 WANG Selina 100% 69% 24% 3% - - -
68 HUANG Natalie 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
69 BLANKS Campbell 100% 100% 98% 83% 38% 6%
70 FEDER Acadia 100% 95% 60% 21% 4% - -
71 JUNCADELLA Lucy 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% - -
72 KIM Sophia 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
72 HUFFMAN Yunia 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
74 LI Doreen 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
75 REILLY Carys 100% 31% 4% - - - -
76 CAPPIELLO Francesca 100% 77% 30% 4% - - -
77 OWEN Alexandra 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
78 KIM Claire 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
79 ZAHRAN Emily 100% 99% 87% 51% 12% 1% -
80 LU Zoe 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
81 ACHESON Lilianne 100% 26% 3% - - - -
82 GANESH Vanshi 100% 98% 52% 13% 1% - -
83 ALLEN Sophia 100% 37% 5% - - -
84 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
84 PHAN Logan 100% 97% 56% 16% 2% - -
86 CHOI Cara 100% 74% 25% 2% - - -
87 ZHANG Amber 100% 33% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.