Treasure Chest RYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 6%
2 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
3 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 CHUNG Penelope 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
5 CHANG Abigail 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
6 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
7 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
8 AIRES Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
9 JAMES Ashley 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
10 JAQUISH Zoey 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
11 YIN Gabriela 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
12 XU Jessica 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
13 BLANCO Ariia 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
14 LAI Amanda 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
15 KAUR Jaap 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
16 KIM Isabella 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
17 PATTERSON Liliya 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
18 DWIGGINS Reese 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
19 TSE Harmony 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
20 BURICEA Ada 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
21 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
22 YANG Arianna 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
23 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 11% 1%
24 WU Jalyn 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
25 ZHAO Emma 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
26 ZHU Riley 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
27 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
28 SIMHADRI Sanjana 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1% -
29 KURUPATH Durga 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
30 BUCA Nora 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 5% -
31 GILLIS-PADE Neallie 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
32 LEE Alyssa 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
33 MYERS Cal 100% 93% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
34 WANG Emma 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
35 CHO Seren 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
36 LI Chelsea 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
37 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
38 KANDALA Aanya 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
39 LIN Isabel 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
40 LI Yunxuan 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
41 LEE Valerie 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
42 ZHANG Rose 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
43 JAIN Prisha 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
44 LEE Grace 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
45 CHO Dana 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% -
46 KELMAN Nora 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
47 ZOLNIKOV Alina 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
48 DAVIS Violet 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
49 WIMERT Dahlia 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
50 COHEN Shaina 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
51 PADHI Nisha 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
52 PRABHU Mihika 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% -
53 SIDDABATHUNI ananya 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
54 ZHANG Helen 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.