Treasure Chest RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 15, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 XU Serena 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
2 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 SIMHADRI Sanjana 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
3 LIN Isabel 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 4%
5 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
6 MADANNAVAR Trisha 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
7 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
8 YU Chloe 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% -
9 RADOV Una 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2%
10 BUDMAN Ava 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
11 LI Yunxuan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
12 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
13 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 1%
14 ZHAO Emma 100% 99% 88% 50% 11%
15 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
16 ZHAO Ellie 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
17 ZHU Riley 100% 99% 88% 61% 25% 4%
18 DWIGGINS Reese 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
19 CHO Seren 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
20 CHO Dana 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
21 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 15%
22 DENEALE Lucia 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
23 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
24 CHANG Allison 100% 98% 81% 39% 7%
25 KANDALA Aanya 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3%
26 BUCA Nora 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
27 YU Xintong 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
28 LI Chelsea 100% 68% 21% 3% -
29 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 74% 28% 5% -
30 KLEINER Sophia 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
31 DING Calista 100% 99% 87% 55% 17% 1%
31 LE Luana 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
33 LEE Grace 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
34 REN Ivanka 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
35 YU Gloria 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.