Pacific Northwest Cup (Y10, Y12, & Y14 Foil)

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 21, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Oregon - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 IYOKI Sean 100% 99% 93% 67% 24% 3%
2 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
3 KUANG Vincent 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
3 ROBERTS Nikolai 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
5 CHOI Lydia 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
6 WILDE Aiza 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
7 WITHERSPOON Luke 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
8 PAINTER Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
9 KEHOE Audrey 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
10 GILLIS Philip 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 7%
11 LANE Xander 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
12 THOMAS Noah 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
13 JONES Rowan 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
14 IRELAND Jack 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
15 BREILING Sebastian 100% 90% 46% 10% 1% -
16 GALERO Suther 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
17 ADAMS Trail 100% 99% 81% 37% 7% -
18 SCHAEFER Everett 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.