IFC 2023 Winter Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 21, 2023 at 9:45 AM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOLARIN Oluwatosin N. - - - 2% 18% 45% 35%
2 MCNICHOLAS Evan M. - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
3 CARDENAS Nathan A. - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
3 SON Eric - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
5 LAUER Michael - - 6% 27% 44% 23%
6 PRIJATEL John R. - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
7 SOARE Maria Elena 12% 36% 36% 13% 2% - -
8 ARMBRUSTER David - 2% 19% 41% 30% 7%
9 AGUILAR Nicolas F. - 8% 38% 39% 14% 2%
10 RIPLEY Ian - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
11 LASKA Patryk - - 8% 31% 42% 18%
12 REED Dusty (Allen) - 3% 26% 42% 24% 5%
13 FIELDS Elijah W. - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
14 WINGET William (Bill) D. - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 11%
15 GUILFORD Corey - 2% 23% 42% 27% 6%
16 MILLER Jackson 21% 49% 25% 5% - -
17 SPURGEON William 40% 47% 13% 1% - -
18 ORGAN Jason 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
19 BRENNEMAN Adam 1% 10% 35% 37% 15% 2%
20 VANCE Sam 29% 57% 13% 1% - -
21 KOZINSKI Allison E. 8% 34% 39% 16% 2% - -
22 BETTRIDGE Jessica 1% 9% 42% 38% 10% 1% -
23 ARMBRUSTER John 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
23 BESEL Natalie 46% 43% 11% - - -
25 JONES Hope 56% 40% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.