IFC 2023 Winter Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 21, 2023 at 9:45 AM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOLARIN Oluwatosin N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 35%
2 MCNICHOLAS Evan M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
3 SON Eric 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 8%
5 LAUER Michael 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
6 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
7 SOARE Maria Elena 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
8 ARMBRUSTER David 100% 100% 98% 78% 37% 7%
9 AGUILAR Nicolas F. 100% 100% 92% 54% 16% 2%
10 RIPLEY Ian 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
11 LASKA Patryk 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 18%
12 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 100% 97% 71% 29% 5%
13 FIELDS Elijah W. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
14 WINGET William (Bill) D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
15 GUILFORD Corey 100% 100% 98% 74% 32% 6%
16 MILLER Jackson 100% 79% 30% 5% - -
17 SPURGEON William 100% 60% 14% 1% - -
18 ORGAN Jason 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
19 BRENNEMAN Adam 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2%
20 VANCE Sam 100% 71% 15% 1% - -
21 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% - -
22 BETTRIDGE Jessica 100% 99% 90% 48% 10% 1% -
23 ARMBRUSTER John 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
23 BESEL Natalie 100% 54% 11% - - -
25 JONES Hope 100% 44% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.