2023 UGA Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 21, 2023 at 8:15 AM

Hugh Mills Physical Education Complex - Gainesville, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
2 DING Tommy 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
3 AWAN Saqlain A. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
3 CAMPBELL Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 31%
5 MAXWELL CJ F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
6 VIVEROS Oscar A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
7 FAN Yuchen 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
8 VALES Keyan 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
9 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
10 VINEL ALEKSANDR 100% 100% 93% 59% 16% 1%
11 LIU Elinda 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% 1% -
12 MILES Greyson 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
13 MANN Justin 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 3%
14 CANTRELL Jason T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
15 NELSEN Harrison 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
16 SINGLE Thomas 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3%
17 MACK Jacob 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
18 TAN Isabella 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
19 HAYWOOD Madison 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
20 BRUCE Naomi 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
21 HONG Robin 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
22 FROST Talon 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
23 RODRIGUEZ Beni A. 100% 100% 89% 55% 18% 2%
24 EGOAVIL Isabella 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
25 BOTKIN Elizabeth 100% 92% 60% 19% 2% -
26 PALEO Gabriella 100% 100% 98% 80% 33% 6% -
27 YAU Katie 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
28 POON Heidi 100% 94% 64% 23% 3% -
29 XIE Michael 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
30 MANN Luke 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
31 MONAGHAN Claire (Micah) 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
32 MCARTHUR Kemp 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
33 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 95% 61% 19% 2%
34 BLACK Elias 100% 71% 28% 6% - -
35 COUSINS Patrick 100% 85% 44% 12% 1% -
36 ZHANG Justin 100% 68% 5% - - -
37 KUTATELADZE Anna 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.