2023 UGA Open

Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 12:45 PM

Hugh Mills Physical Education Complex - Gainesville, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIYA Biaya K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
2 WANG Maxwell L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
3 GERAGHTY Michael P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 SHIN Sungmoon (Andy) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
5 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
6 SCHARF Ryan 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
7 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
8 MALLOY Patrick G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
9 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
10 WANG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
11 LIN Kason 100% 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
12 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
13 CHUNG Joshua 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 1%
14 VALES Keyan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
14 WANG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
16 MCFARLAND Kai 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
17 NORMAN Christian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 8%
18 EVANS Grant 100% 100% 93% 52% 11% < 1%
19 JAAFAR Omar 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 5%
20 DANZIG Jacob S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
21 SCHNEIDER Allen J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
21 ARUN Vikhyat 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
23 RACHEL Dylan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
24 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
25 DAVIS Jonah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
26 CHAMBERS Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
27 MARSHALL Wesley 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 5%
28 NAIK Saininad 100% 100% 100% 90% 50% 5%
29 MCDANIEL Eamon 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
30 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
31 FREY Wayne N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 4%
32 MAXWELL Austin 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
33 BASKIN Miles 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
34 ZHANG Eric 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5% -
35 HAN Ethan 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
36 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
37 LE Kevin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
38 NICKERSON Oliver 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
39 SINGH Siddhant 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
40 ILENRE Roni 100% 70% 22% 2% - -
41 MESA Brian C. 100% 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
42 FAN Yuchen 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
42 CAFFIAUX Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
44 HONG Ryan 100% 99% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
45 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
45 CHOI David 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
47 CHOI Adam 100% 99% 42% 8% 1% - -
48 KUMAR Anusha 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
49 JUNG Elliot 100% 82% 40% 11% 2% - -
50 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
51 ROCKWELL Nolan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
52 SEAMAN C. Scott (Scott) 100% 99% 88% 53% 14% 1%
53 LEE Daehyeon 100% 87% 35% 4% - -
54 MIHILL Margaret 100% 39% 6% - - -
55 PULLEN Ayah 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
56 NG Joshua Z. 100% 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
57 YANG Maximus 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
58 HONG Robin 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
59 PAK Joel 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
60 MCFARLAND John G. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
61 SWARTZ Emile 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
62 JIN Dongwoo 100% 42% 7% - - - -
63 SOTTILE Cole 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
64 JACKSON Viktoria 100% 63% 14% 1% - - -
65 KREISER Alexander 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
66 ATON Dave 100% 94% 64% 21% 3% -
67 ARZT Nicholas 100% 87% 39% 8% 1% - -
68 ALVARENGA Darby 100% 6% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.