6th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
2 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 35%
3 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
3 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 7%
5 KO Claire 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 6%
6 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
7 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 43%
8 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
9 WYNN Kylie 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 18%
10 YONG Rosalind 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
11 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
12 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
13 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 11% 1%
14 CARVAJAL Sofia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
15 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
16 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
17 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
18 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 6%
19 BARTON Nanea 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
20 SHUM Maya 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
21 TIKHONOVA Sofia 100% 98% 80% 37% 8% 1%
22 MORALES Paulina 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
23 GUO Audrey 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 2% -
24 COX Sophia 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
25 GOEL Riyana 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
26 ANDONIAN Lauren 100% 99% 85% 44% 11% 1%
27 WILLIAMSON Tessa 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
28 DESAI Esha 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
29 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
30 LIU Ariana 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
31 LI Joy 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
32 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% -
33 KIM Sydney 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
34 MANIMTIM Rachel 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
35 POEI Lauren 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% - -
36 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 86% 40% 8% 1% -
37 VILLARAMA Kara 100% 85% 37% 7% 1% -
38 CHANG Olivia 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% - -
39 CHANG Janelle 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% - -
40 LUCAS Ava 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
41 HUGHES Olivia 100% 43% 7% - - -
42 MILES Quinn 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
43 CHOI Sophie 100% 72% 29% 6% - - -
44 CHEN Elysia 100% 39% 4% - - -
45 BENNYHOFF Naia 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% - -
46 CHU Felicity 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.