Forge Fencing Priority on NC:D3 Foil/Epee/Saber

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA

Results

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Note: Color boxes represent opponent difficulty from the fencer's perspective. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 FORT David V V V V V V V V 3.1 4 +0.9
2 MOL Spencer V V V V V V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
3 KLEIN Andrew J. V V D V V V D 3.0 3 -
3 ETIN Ari D V V V V V V D 4.0 4 -
5 DECK Tyson V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
6 LE Brandon V V V D V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
7 TODD Phoebe V D V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
8 MAHER Jason D V D V V D 1.8 2 +0.2
9 XIE Nora D V V D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
10 TAYLOR Wise V D V V D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
11 FRUTH Evan V V D D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
12 EYSTER Edison D V D V V D 2.0 2 -
13 HUANG Neila D V D V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
14 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava V D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
15 MOL Justin D D V D D V D 2.7 1 -1.7
16 RATTANA Anushawn D D D D D V D 1.4 0 -1.4
17 LAWRENCE Addison D V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
18 WIGGS Andrew D V V D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
19 FOLK William V D D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
20 THARRINGTON Samuel D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
21 BRAMLETT Myer D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
23 LEE Angela D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the difficulty of an opponent from the perspective of the fencer according to table below. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Opponent's Difficulty Probability of victory
Very Hard 0% to 20%
Hard 20% to 40%
Roughly even 40% to 60%
Easy 60% to 80%
Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

This visual map of the competition helps to understand:

Ignoring differences in styles, you should be winning your bouts against easier opponents and shouldn't be upset if you lose against stronger opponents.