Forge Fencing Priority on NC:D3 Foil/Epee/Saber

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA

Results

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Note: Color boxes represent opponent difficulty from the fencer's perspective. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert V V V V V V V V V 3.8 5 +1.2
2 BLONDEL Leo O. V V V D V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
3 KAUNITZ Emmanuel V V V V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
3 TSAI Caleb V V V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
5 HOPEL Seth V V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
6 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya V V V D V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
7 YOON Joshua Seokhyun V V V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
8 YAN James D V D V V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
9 ROTHMAN Matthew V D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
10 TSAI Steven D D V V V D 3.0 3 -
11 KARNAVAS William D V V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
12 OWENS Elise D D V V D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
13 THU John D V D V D V D 1.1 2 +0.9
14 AMOROSO John D V D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
15 KAPLAN Abe D D D V V D 1.4 1 -0.4
16 RUSSELL James V D D D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
17 ZHANG Vicky V D D D D D 3.1 1 -2.1
18 MENECHELLA Matthew D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
19 LAWRENCE Addison D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2
20 FALK Zoe D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
21 FALK Abigail D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the difficulty of an opponent from the perspective of the fencer according to table below. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Opponent's Difficulty Probability of victory
Very Hard 0% to 20%
Hard 20% to 40%
Roughly even 40% to 60%
Easy 60% to 80%
Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

This visual map of the competition helps to understand:

Ignoring differences in styles, you should be winning your bouts against easier opponents and shouldn't be upset if you lose against stronger opponents.