Forge Fencing Priority on NC:D3 Foil/Epee/Saber

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert - - 5% 28% 49% 18%
2 BLONDEL Leo O. - 3% 18% 43% 36%
3 KAUNITZ Emmanuel - 13% 63% 24%
3 TSAI Caleb 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
5 HOPEL Seth - 7% 27% 40% 23% 4%
6 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
7 YOON Joshua Seokhyun - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
8 YAN James - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
9 ROTHMAN Matthew - 5% 36% 59%
10 TSAI Steven - 5% 24% 43% 24% 4%
11 KARNAVAS William 9% 31% 39% 19% 3%
12 OWENS Elise 10% 40% 38% 11% 1% -
13 THU John 25% 44% 25% 5% - -
14 AMOROSO John 13% 62% 23% 2%
15 KAPLAN Abe 16% 40% 33% 10% 1%
16 RUSSELL James 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
17 ZHANG Vicky - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
18 MENECHELLA Matthew 19% 41% 30% 9% 1%
19 LAWRENCE Addison 80% 19% - -
20 FALK Zoe 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
21 FALK Abigail 11% 38% 39% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.