Event Preview
National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NACSunday, July 11, 2021 at 1:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3360 | 3555 - 3258 |
| 5 - 8 | 3164 | 3228 - 3121 |
| 9 - 16 | 3006 | 3103 - 2927 |
| 17 - 32 | 2888 | 3287 - 2816 |
| 33 - 64 | 2736 | 2913 - 2611 |
| 65 - 128 | 2469 | 3039 - 2219 |
| 129 - 171 | 2080 | 2500 - 1317 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.