Bay Cup at HALB: Unrated Foil & Epee

Unrated Men's Foil

Sunday, January 29, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Halberstadt Fencers' Club - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 VAN Tyson 100% 100% 99% 87% 30%
2 PETERSON Lucas 100% 97% 64% 17% 1%
3 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
3 KIM Jonah 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
5 LIU Yuxuan Kevin 100% 100% 88% 51% 12%
6 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 89% 51% 15% 2%
7 KAISER Lucas 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
8 MIETTINEN Pyry 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
9 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 94% 68% 26% 2%
10 NGUYEN Steven 100% 100% 98% 73% 24%
11 BECKER Ethan 100% 56% 13% 1% -
12 SCHILLER Finnegan 100% 66% 23% 4% -
13 PEZESHKI Oliver 100% 37% 4% - -
14 ZELAYA Raphael 100% 98% 68% 22% 1%
15 SMITH Charlie 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.