Lucas Kaiser

2007

North Bay Fencing Academy

Win/Loss Statistics

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Victories 5 18 - - - 23
Losses 22 39 - - - 61
Win Ratio 18.5% 31.6% - - - 27.4%
Pool Victories 4 16 - - - 20
Pool Losses 18 31 - - - 49
Pool Win Ratio 18.2% 34.0% - - - 29.0%
DE Victories 1 2 - - - 3
DE Losses 4 8 - - - 12
DE Win Ratio 20.0% 20.0% - - - 20.0%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Easy wins† 1 6 - - - 7
Easy wins as % of wins 20.0% 33.3% - - - 30.4%
Close wins‡ 2 3 - - - 5
Close wins as % of all wins 40.0% 16.7% - - - 21.7%
Close losses‡ 2 6 - - - 8
Close losses as % of all losses 9.1% 15.4% - - - 13.1%
Big losses† 16 16 - - - 32
Big losses as % of all losses 72.7% 41.0% - - - 52.5%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Events

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Events 4 8 - - - 12
Tournaments 3 6 - - - 9

Competition History

Back to School RYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Foil (C2, CDT), October 13, 2023
Place 25, Seed 19, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 LIU William 4 D23 3 Golden State Fencing Academy 2155 1138 2.9 5%
Pool L 1:5 PETROV Mikhail 22 U 15 Maximum Fencing Club 1428 1135 14.2 32%
Pool L 0:5 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 13 E23 10 Massialas Foundation (M Team) 1923 1121 5.0 9%
Pool L 2:5 LI Richard 5 D23 11 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1874 1116 5.5 11%
Pool L 0:5 ZHONG Maxwell 12 E23 9 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1873 1110 5.4 10%
T32 L 6:15 CHANG Jonathan 6 D23 8 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 2319 1025 6.1 2%

AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Cadet Men's Foil (B3, CDT), October 7, 2023
Place 118, Seed 112, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 KRYLTSOV Michael 4 52 C23 39 Rain City Fencing Center 2555 1200 1.0 1%
Pool L 1:5 YU ZiRun (Kinton) 102 U 32 1868 1199 7.5 14%
Pool L 1:5 TSOI Spencer 69 E23 72 Precision Athletics Fencing Club 1523 1192 14.2 29%
Pool L 0:5 LO Preston 33 C23 13 Massialas Foundation (M Team) 2307 1177 2.1 3%
Pool L 2:5 CHANG Jonathan 40 D23 67 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 2085 1175 4.0 7%
Pool L 4:5 YUAN Jonathan 78 U 107 Socal Fencing Center 778 1171 33.7 73%
T128 L 4:15 MA Andrew 8 70 C22 36 Massialas Foundation (M Team) 2600 1027 2.4 1%

AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Junior Men's Foil (B2/C3, JNR), October 6, 2023
Place 71, Seed 74, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 LISONDRA Niko 36 D23 23 Northwest Fencing Center / Rain City Fencing Center 2478 1201 1.4 2%
Pool W 5:3 YUAN Jonathan 58 U 74 Socal Fencing Center 835 1200 13.9 72%
Pool L 3:5 SAH Steven 29 D23 30 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1983 1214 6.1 10%
Pool L 1:5 CO Dylan 7 B22 9 Massialas Foundation (M Team) 2760 1208 0.5 1%
Pool L 0:5 ZHANG Jacob 46 E23 35 Precision Athletics Fencing Club 2133 1207 4.0 6%
Pool L 1:5 SETLUR Bhrugu 16 C23 44 Prime Fencing Academy 2210 1203 3.2 5%
T128 L 5:15 PETERSON Lucas 45 E23 58 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1534 1076 48.1 25%

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Senior (unrated only) - All foil event

Unrated Mixed Foil (E1, U), September 17, 2023
Place 15, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:2 MARTIN Dylan 26 U 22 East Bay Fencers Gym 2500 1153 36.3 10%
Pool L 4:5 ANDRADE Cedric 10 U 14 Bay Area Fencing Club 1235 1190 25.4 47%
Pool L 1:5 TERRELL LeBaron 20 U 10 Journeys Fencing Club 1488 1164 15.6 31%
Pool W 5:4 CHEN Evan 11 U 12 Massialas Foundation (M Team) 1676 1149 44.9 20%
Pool W 5:4 BOYNTON Alex 21 U 21 Piedmont Fencing Team 510 1194 7.7 86%
T32 W 15:4 HAMEL Gillian 29 U 18 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1537 988 124.6 27%
T16 L 4:15 ZHONG Maxwell 2 U 1 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1757 1113 37.2 17%

Bay Cup at HALB: UMF4, UWF4, XF2, WF2

Senior Mixed Foil (E1, SNR), April 23, 2023
Place 5, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 SCHEUERMANN Andrew 3 D19 1 2407 1108 2.1 2%
Pool W 5:2 TOYOFUKU Ethan 7 U 6 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1325 1106 39.9 36%
Pool L 2:5 BECKER Ethan 6 U 3 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1203 1146 27.2 46%
Pool W 5:2 MIETTINEN Pyry 4 U 7 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1367 1119 37.5 35%
Pool L 1:5 BHATT Morgane 1 A19 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club / Tour D'auvergne
Pool L 2:5 CRACRAFT William J. 2 C22 3 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 2272 1156 2.7 3%
T8 L 14:15 BECKER Ethan 6 U 3 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1121 1104 115.8 49%

Bay Cup at HALB: UMF4, UWF4, XF2, WF2

Unrated Men's Foil (E1, U), April 23, 2023
Place 5, Seed 8, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 KREISHER Ilan 5 U 6 North Bay Fencing Academy 772 1115 24.1 70%
Pool L 4:5 DUNCANSON Myles 4 U 3 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1498 1139 21.4 31%
Pool W 5:1 WOO Noah 9 U 6 Massialas Foundation 1096 1117 34.4 51%
Pool L 3:5 BECKER Ethan 2 U 3 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1229 1152 32.7 45%
Pool W 5:1 SCOTT Benjamin 6 U 8 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1002 1119 28.8 57%
Pool W 5:1 ACH Desmond 7 U 9 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 541 1148 12.5 83%
Pool L 0:5 MIETTINEN Pyry 3 U 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1292 1160 27.1 42%
Pool L 0:5 TOYOFUKU Ethan 1 U 1 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1304 1133 25.2 39%
T8 L 13:15 BECKER Ethan 2 U 3 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1102 1268 163.8 59%

MFA Y10, Y14, and Senior foil - unrated fencers

Unrated Mixed Foil (U, U), April 16, 2023
Place 3, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 LEHMAN Jackie V. 2 U 7
Pool L 2:5 TOYOFUKU Ethan 1 U 1 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1326 1120 36.7 37%
Pool W 5:4 SCHILLER Finnegan 7 U 6 En Garde Fencing - California 1008 1083 41.4 55%
Pool W 5:2 ZANDER Maxx 5 U 5 heislerfencingclub
Pool L 1:5 BECKER Ethan 3 U 3 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1228 1125 38.1 43%
Pool W 5:2 PEZESHKI Oliver 6 U 2 West Berkeley Fencing Club 810 1087 28.0 67%
T8 W 15:12 LEHMAN Jackie V. 2 U 7
T4 L 6:15 PEZESHKI Oliver 6 U 2 West Berkeley Fencing Club 949 1537 269.6 78%

Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil (A2/B3, JNR), March 26, 2023
Place 90, Seed 81, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 GIRALDO Pablo E. 6 A19 15 Pennsylvania State University NCAA 2865 1222 0.9 < 1%
Pool L 2:5 XIE Buster 62 E23 51 2027 1221 13.7 10%
Pool L 2:5 LIANG Ethan 87 U 82 Bay Area Fencing Club 940 1207 73.3 66%
Pool L 1:5 MA Andrew 23 C22 10 Massialas Foundation (M Team) 2659 1134 1.3 1%
Pool L 0:5 YAKUSHKIN Ernest D. 34 C19 39 LA International Fencing 3045 1132 0.3 < 1%
Pool L 1:5 FANG Jaden 50 E23 25 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1946 1132 12.0 10%
T128 L 3:15 LI Avery Peihong 13 C23 47 Golubitsky Fencing Center 2580 1576 39.0 8%

Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil (C3, CDT), March 24, 2023
Place 73, Seed 69, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 BAE Eugene 64 U 72 Precision Athletics Fencing Club 1742 1222 32.4 21%
Pool L 2:5 ZHANG Aaron 18 C22 19 LA International Fencing / Orange County Fencing Center 2455 1190 4.8 2%
Pool L 2:5 NGAI Julian 61 U 40 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1903 1185 20.3 13%
Pool L 2:5 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 35 D22 14 2085 1165 12.1 7%
Pool L 2:5 KIM Daniel Y. 9 66 E23 8 Prime Fencing Academy 2162 1152 9.3 6%
Pool W 5:0 CHANG Nathan 44 E23 77 Elite Fencing Club 1370 1143 78.6 36%
T128 L 10:15 BIELER Mason 70 U 56 Elite Fencing Club 2164 1700 123.4 27%

MFA Y10, Y14, and Senior foil - unrated fencers

Unrated Mixed Foil (E1, U), March 19, 2023
Place 10, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 TONG Andrew 8 U 12 Journeys Fencing Club 2500 1326 124.2 13%
Pool L 0:5 TOYOFUKU Ethan 5 U 3 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1204 1450 122.1 65%
Pool L 4:5 LIU Aaron 4 U 2 Marin Fencing Academy LLC 1734 1328 46.3 27%
Pool L 2:5 KALAMAS Nikolas 14 U 3 Piedmont Fencing Team 1474 1282 59.7 38%
Pool L 2:5 ZANDER Maxx 9 U 7 heislerfencingclub
Pool W 5:0 DIGGS Corina 12 U 13 Journeys Fencing Club
T16 L 12:15 ZANDER Maxx 9 U 7 heislerfencingclub

Silicon Valley RYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Foil (C1, CDT), March 10, 2023
Place 17, Seed 14, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 JIANG Yehong 11 U 13 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1309 1175 146.2 43%
Pool W 5:3 ZHOU Ryan 17 U 8 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1698 1029 272.7 17%
Pool W 5:3 SCHILLER Finnegan 19 U 16 En Garde Fencing - California 884 1301 65.9 73%
Pool L 1:5 LI Jett 5 D22 3 Golden State Fencing Academy 2160 1367 30.1 12%
Pool L 0:5 CORTRIGHT Skipper 2 C22 3 Bay Area Fencing Club 2494 1337 11.5 4%
T32 L 9:15 SCHILLER Finnegan 19 U 16 En Garde Fencing - California 1745 2026 326.3 63%

Bay Cup at HALB: Unrated Foil & Epee

Unrated Men's Foil (E1, U), January 29, 2023
Place 7, Seed 9, Not ranked, Rating U, North Bay Fencing Academy / (none)
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 VAN Tyson 5 U 1 Unattached / University of California, Santa Cruz 2160 2500 662.0 63%
Pool L 1:5 BECKER Ethan 14 U 11 West Berkeley Fencing Club 1130 1838 622.2 79%
Pool L 2:5 KALAMAS Nikolas 3 U 9 Piedmont Fencing Team 1393 1216 201.6 41%
Pool W 5:3 ZELAYA Raphael 10 U 14 East Bay Fencers Gym 965 1014 160.7 52%
T16 W 15:14 NGUYEN Steven 13 U 10 East Bay Fencers Gym 2500 2500 420.5 50%
T8 L 13:15 LIU Aaron 8 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy 1813 2921 894.5 88%