The Hangover Classic 2023

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 29, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
2 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 4%
3 SHEYNKMAN Leon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
3 WASDEN Andrew B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
5 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 5%
6 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 24%
7 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
8 MOORE Evan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
9 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
10 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 5%
11 ZIMSKY James 100% 96% 72% 30% 3% -
12 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1%
13 EATON David 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
14 MAGGY Melanie D. 100% 100% 88% 52% 15% 1%
15 CLARK Matthew 100% 100% 93% 61% 19% 1%
16 CLARK Robert 100% 98% 75% 25% 3% - -
17 TREADWAY Ella 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% < 1% -
18 MORRIS Luke 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
19 TEELE Porter 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 37% 8%
20 HIGGINS Jackie 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 7%
21 BURNSIDE Caden 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
22 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
23 LIN Janice 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
24 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 93% 58% 18% 2% -
25 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 97% 59% 16% 2% -
26 LEAKE Arlo 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
27 SHEA Aleksander 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% -
28 LAMBERT Luke 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% -
29 LOVELACE Vander 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
30 HESTER Oluwaseyi (Seyi) 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
31 LABEE Lily 100% 65% 22% 3% - -
32 HANSON Beckett 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
33 RHODES Jarreau 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
34 POOLE Katherine 100% 20% 2% - - -
35 FINN Charlotte 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1% -
36 MILLS Joshua 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
37 VASQUEZ Jonathan 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
38 HERNANDEZ Veronica 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.