2023 Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, January 29, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
2 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
3 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
3 PORRAS Cristian 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
5 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
6 GUTIERREZ Nikolai A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
7 MA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 8%
8 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 19% 1%
9 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
10 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
11 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 2%
12 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
13 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
14 LI Samuel 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
15 LISONDRA Niko 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 16% 1%
16 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 25% 3%
17 CHENG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
18 BERK Theodore 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
19 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 61% 19% 2%
20 SKYWARK Andrew 100% 94% 61% 21% 3% -
21 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
22 ROSSMAN Brock 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
23 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
24 MA Bryant 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
25 KIM Harrison 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
26 LIM Jonathon 100% 98% 70% 16% 1% - -
27 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
28 TALASILA Arush 100% 98% 78% 30% 5% - -
29 PALACIOS Francisco 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
30 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
31 WU Alistair 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1%
32 CRAIG Whitman 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
33 HARROCH Faustin 100% 88% 32% 3% - - -
34 LEE Jayden 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% - -
35 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 28% 3% - - - -
36 MEMMOTT Ben 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
37 KLEIN Johannes 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
38 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
39 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 29% 2% - - - -
40 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 100% 91% 35% 5% - - -
40 HOLLEY Dakota 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.