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Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NATH Trisha - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
2 LIU Yifei - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
3 LEE Sophia - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 BAWA Anahat 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
5 SCOTT Eve - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
6 OBRADOVIC Ana - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
7 SPEARS Mya B 1% 8% 28% 37% 22% 5%
8 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
9 MACE Eliza M. - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
10 KRASOWITZ Lucy 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
11 COLBY Mercer 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
12 FAN Grace - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
13 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
14 NAYAK Esha 2% 13% 32% 35% 17% 2%
15 FEIG Sela - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
16 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
17 CHARLES Caitlin 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
18 NGUYEN Ella - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
19 FLATT Sophia 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
20 CHAVAN Arya 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
21 REN Xinling - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
22 MCGRAW Sadie 37% 41% 17% 3% - -
23 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 3% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
24 NAYAK Anika 6% 31% 38% 20% 5% -
25 BIRNSTILL Reese 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
26 NAYAK Antara 73% 24% 3% - - -
27 BARROSO Isabela 60% 33% 6% 1% - -
28 MESSICK Maya 21% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
29 MYAT Chloe 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
29 ZENG Sarah < 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.